Mercyhurst vs. Penn State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

Penn State is favored to beat Mercyhurst at Bryce Jordan Center on Thursday (6:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Mercyhurst vs. Penn State prediction gives the Lakers a 94.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 149.5 points.

Mercyhurst vs. Penn State key predictions

• Predicted score: Penn State 84-65 Mercyhurst
• Penn State win probability: 94.9%
• Mercyhurst win probability: 5.1%
• Mercyhurst +20 spread: 53.1% cover probability
• Over 149.5 points: 52.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Mercyhurst vs. Penn State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Mercyhurst moneyline: +2000 (FanDuel)
• Penn State moneyline: -5000 (BetMGM)
• Mercyhurst +20: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Penn State -20: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 149.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)
• Under 149.5 points: -115 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Mercyhurst vs. Penn State pick: Over 149.5 (-105)

Our model makes Penn State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 149.5 total points at -105 on DraftKings.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 52.0%.

That's a 0.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Mercyhurst vs. Penn State game details

• Matchup: Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• Venue: Bryce Jordan Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.