Virginia vs. Maryland Prediction, Picks & Odds
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Virginia vs. Maryland prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday
- Teams: Virginia vs. Maryland
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: XFINITY Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Virginia (-5.5, -118), Maryland (+5.5, -102)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points (-105/-105)
- Moneyline: Virginia -250, Maryland +210
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Virginia: 71.8%
- Maryland: 28.2%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Virginia 80 and Maryland 73.
This is a margin of 7 points against a spread of 5.5, and a projected total of 153 points against a market line of 154.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Virginia a win probability of 71.8%, while Maryland has a win probability of 28.2%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Virginia is more likely to beat Maryland in the men's college basketball game at XFINITY Center on Friday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Virginia vs. Maryland predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.