Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley Prediction, Picks & Odds
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- Texas Rio Grande Valley
Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Tuesday
- Teams: Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley
- Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
- Tip-off: 7:30PM ET
- Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse
Current betting odds
- Spread: Texas State (-7.5, -106), Texas Rio Grande Valley (+7.5, -114)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points (-115/-105)
- Moneyline: Texas State -310, Texas Rio Grande Valley +245
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Texas State: 76.1%
- Texas Rio Grande Valley: 23.9%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Texas State 76 and Texas Rio Grande Valley 69.
This is a margin of 7 points against a spread of 7.5, and a projected total of 145 points against a market line of 145.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Texas State a win probability of 76.1%, while Texas Rio Grande Valley has a win probability of 23.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat Texas Rio Grande Valley in the men's college basketball game at UTRGV Fieldhouse on Tuesday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.