Illinois State vs. Purdue prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026

Purdue is favored to beat Illinois State at Mackey Arena on Monday (8:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Illinois State vs. Purdue prediction gives the Redbirds a 91.2% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 144.5 points.

Illinois State vs. Purdue key predictions

• Predicted score: Purdue 82-67 Illinois State
• Purdue win probability: 91.2%
• Illinois State win probability: 8.8%
• Illinois State +15.5 spread: 50.3% cover probability
• Over 144.5 points: 56.9% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Illinois State vs. Purdue odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Illinois State moneyline: +1000 (FanDuel)
• Purdue moneyline: -1600 (BetMGM)
• Illinois State +15.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Purdue -15.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 144.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)
• Under 144.5 points: -110 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Illinois State vs. Purdue pick: Over 144.5 (-105)

Our model makes Purdue the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 144.5 total points at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 56.9%.

That's a 5.7% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Illinois State vs. Purdue game details

• Matchup: Illinois State Redbirds vs. Purdue Boilermakers
• Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• Venue: Mackey Arena
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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