Florida vs. Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Florida vs. Florida State prediction for Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Florida FLA
Predicted score
85
:
76
Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
Florida State FSU
Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Florida State +9.5
Spread
  • Florida
    45.3%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Florida State
    54.7%
    BetMGMBetMGM

Florida vs. Florida State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Tuesday

  • Teams: Florida vs. Florida State
  • Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
  • Tip-off: 6:00PM ET
  • Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Florida (-9.5, -110), Florida State (+9.5, -110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points (-110/-110)
  • Moneyline: Florida -480, Florida State +450

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Florida: 78.5%
  • Florida State: 21.5%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Florida 84 and Florida State 75.

This is a margin of 9 points against a spread of 9.5, and a projected total of 159 points against a market line of 164.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Florida a win probability of 78.5%, while Florida State has a win probability of 21.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Florida is more likely to beat Florida State in the men's college basketball game at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center on Tuesday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Florida vs. Florida State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.