Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction for Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Arkansas-Little Rock UALR
Predicted score
67
:
90
The Pit
New Mexico UNM
The Pit
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

New Mexico -21.5
Spread
  • Arkansas-Little Rock
    48.0%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • New Mexico
    52.0%
    CaesarsCaesars

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Tuesday

  • Teams: Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico
  • Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
  • Tip-off: 9:00PM ET
  • Venue: The Pit

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Arkansas-Little Rock (+21.5, -110), New Mexico (-21.5, -110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points (-110/-105)
  • Moneyline: Arkansas-Little Rock +2000, New Mexico -5000

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Arkansas-Little Rock: 3.3%
  • New Mexico: 96.7%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Arkansas-Little Rock 66 and New Mexico 89.

This is a margin of 23 points against a spread of 21.5, and a projected total of 155 points against a market line of 156.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Arkansas-Little Rock a win probability of 3.3%, while New Mexico has a win probability of 96.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, New Mexico is more likely to beat Arkansas-Little Rock in the men's college basketball game at The Pit on Tuesday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.