Georgia State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Georgia State vs. Fresno State prediction for Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
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MEN'S CBB
Georgia State GAST
Predicted score
72
:
78
Save Mart Center
Fresno State FRES
Save Mart Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Georgia State +6.5
Spread
  • Georgia State
    50.7%
    BetMGMBetMGM
  • Fresno State
    49.3%
    FanDuelFanDuel

Georgia State vs. Fresno State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Tuesday

  • Teams: Georgia State vs. Fresno State
  • Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
  • Tip-off: 9:00PM ET
  • Venue: Save Mart Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Georgia State (+6.5, -106), Fresno State (-6.5, -114)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points (-114/-106)
  • Moneyline: Georgia State +235, Fresno State -285

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Georgia State: 27.9%
  • Fresno State: 72.1%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Georgia State 72 and Fresno State 78.

This is a margin of 6 points against a spread of 6.5, and a projected total of 150 points against a market line of 149.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Georgia State a win probability of 27.9%, while Fresno State has a win probability of 72.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Fresno State is more likely to beat Georgia State in the men's college basketball game at Save Mart Center on Tuesday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Georgia State vs. Fresno State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.