Troy vs. Florida State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Florida State is favored to beat Troy at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center on Friday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Troy vs. Florida State prediction gives the Trojans a 96.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best value is on the under 159.5 points.

Troy vs. Florida State key predictions

• Predicted score: Florida State 90-67 Troy
• Florida State win probability: 96.9%
• Troy win probability: 3.1%
• Florida State -22.5 spread: 51.9% cover probability
• Under 159.5 points: 52.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Troy vs. Florida State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Troy moneyline: +2400 (FanDuel)
• Florida State moneyline: -6502 (DraftKings)
• Troy +22.5: -105 (FanDuel)
• Florida State -22.5: -114 (BetRivers)
• Over 159.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)
• Under 159.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Troy vs. Florida State pick: Under 159.5 (-110)

Our model makes Florida State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 159.5 total points at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 52.3%.

Despite a -0.1% edge, it's still the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Troy vs. Florida State game details

• Matchup: Troy Trojans vs. Florida State Seminoles
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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