Troy vs. Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Troy vs. Florida State prediction for Friday, November 6, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Troy TROY
Predicted score
68
:
89
Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
Florida State FSU
Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Florida State -20.5
Spread
  • Troy
    48.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Florida State
    52.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Troy vs. Florida State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday

  • Teams: Troy vs. Florida State
  • Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
  • Tip-off: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Troy (+18.5, -105), Florida State (-18.5, -115)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points (-115/-105)
  • Moneyline: Troy +1400, Florida State -4000

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Troy: 4.8%
  • Florida State: 95.2%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Troy 66 and Florida State 86.

This is a margin of 20 points against a spread of 18.5, and a projected total of 152 points against a market line of 154.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Troy a win probability of 4.8%, while Florida State has a win probability of 95.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Florida State is more likely to beat Troy in the men's college basketball game at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center on Friday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Troy vs. Florida State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.