Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

Texas State is favored to beat Texas Rio Grande Valley at UTRGV Fieldhouse on Tuesday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction gives the Bobcats a 69.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Texas State moneyline, too.

Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley key predictions

• Predicted score: Texas State 73-68 Texas Rio Grande Valley
• Texas State win probability: 69.5%
• Texas Rio Grande Valley win probability: 30.5%
• Texas Rio Grande Valley +5.5 spread: 51.0% cover probability
• Over 140.5 points: 53.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Texas State moneyline: -210 (FanDuel)
• Texas Rio Grande Valley moneyline: +200 (BetRivers)
• Texas State -5.5: -102 (BetMGM)
• Texas Rio Grande Valley +5.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 140.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 140.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley pick: Texas State ML (-210)

Our model makes Texas State the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Bobcats moneyline at -210 on FanDuel, too.

Those odds give Texas State an implied win probability of 67.7%, while our model puts it at 69.5%.

That's a 1.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Texas State vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley game details

• Matchup: Texas State Bobcats vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.