Georgia State vs. Fresno State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

Fresno State is favored to beat Georgia State at Save Mart Center on Tuesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Georgia State vs. Fresno State prediction gives the Panthers a 72.1% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest the best value is on Georgia State to cover at +6.5.

Georgia State vs. Fresno State key predictions

• Predicted score: Fresno State 78-72 Georgia State
• Fresno State win probability: 72.1%
• Georgia State win probability: 27.9%
• Georgia State +6.5 spread: 50.7% cover probability
• Over 149.5 points: 52.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Georgia State vs. Fresno State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Georgia State moneyline: +235 (FanDuel)
• Fresno State moneyline: -295 (BetMGM)
• Georgia State +6.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Fresno State -6.5: -114 (FanDuel)
• Over 149.5 points: -114 (FanDuel)
• Under 149.5 points: -106 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Georgia State vs. Fresno State pick: Georgia State +6.5 (-105)

Our model makes Fresno State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is Fresno State to cover the +6.5 spread at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Georgia State an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 50.7%.

Despite a -0.5% edge, it's still the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Georgia State vs. Fresno State game details

• Matchup: Georgia State Panthers vs. Fresno State
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Save Mart Center
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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