Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

Arkansas State is favored to beat Tennessee-Martin at First National Bank Arena on Tuesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State prediction gives the Skyhawks a 76.8% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Arkansas State to cover at -6.5, too.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State key predictions

• Predicted score: Arkansas State 80-72 Tennessee-Martin
• Arkansas State win probability: 76.8%
• Tennessee-Martin win probability: 23.2%
• Arkansas State -6.5 spread: 55.8% cover probability
• Over 151.5 points: 52.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Tennessee-Martin moneyline: +260 (BetMGM)
• Arkansas State moneyline: -310 (FanDuel)
• Tennessee-Martin +6.5: -102 (FanDuel)
• Arkansas State -6.5: -120 (FanDuel)
• Over 151.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 151.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State pick: Arkansas State -6.5 (-120)

Our model makes Arkansas State the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Skyhawks to cover the -6.5 spread at -120 on FanDuel, too.

Those odds give Arkansas State an implied cover probability of 54.5%, while our model puts it at 55.8%.

That's a 1.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Tennessee-Martin vs. Arkansas State game details

• Matchup: Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.