Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

New Mexico is favored to beat Arkansas-Little Rock at The Pit on Tuesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction gives the Trojans a 96.7% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest the best value is on New Mexico to cover at -22.5, too.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico key predictions

• Predicted score: New Mexico 89-66 Arkansas-Little Rock
• New Mexico win probability: 96.7%
• Arkansas-Little Rock win probability: 3.3%
• New Mexico -22.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Over 159.5 points: 51.5% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Arkansas-Little Rock moneyline: +2400 (FanDuel)
• New Mexico moneyline: -10000 (BetMGM)
• Arkansas-Little Rock +22.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• New Mexico -22.5: -110 (FanDuel)
• Over 159.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 159.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico pick: New Mexico -22.5 (-110)

Our model makes New Mexico the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Trojans to cover the -22.5 spread at -110 on FanDuel, too.

Those odds give New Mexico an implied cover probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 52.0%.

Despite a -0.4% edge, it's still the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico game details

• Matchup: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs. New Mexico Lobos
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: The Pit
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.