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Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Penguins NHL game on January 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
2
1
Jan 14, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
Jan 14, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 0 1 0 2
Penguins
0 0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
PenguinsPIT
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 0 1 0 2
Penguins
0 0 1 0 1
OT1 03:32 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 02:41 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:59 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Bryan Rust
OT1 00:47 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:26 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 19:22 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:35 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 18:05 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P3 17:33 Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:55 Dominic James shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 12:51 Jack Finley shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P3 11:52 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:14 Kris Letang shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 10:28 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 09:02 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 02:47 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 01:42 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:19 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 18:01 Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
SO
End of Shootout period.
SO
End of Shootout period.
SO
Shootout Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov on Andrei Vasilevskiy
SO
Shootout attempt missed by Lightning
SO
Shootout Goal scored by Gage Goncalves on Arturs Silovs
SO
Shootout attempt by Rickard Rakell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 04:19
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in offensive zone
OT1 03:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 02:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:59
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Bryan Rust
OT1 00:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:00
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 19:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 19:01
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 18:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 18:22
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 18:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:05
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P3 17:44
Dominic James won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P3 17:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 16:48
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 16:48
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 16:43
Dominic James won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 16:43
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:23
Dominic James won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P3 15:16
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P3 15:04
Giveaway by Kris Letang in offensive zone
P3 14:36
Nick Paul won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 14:24
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 14:13
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P3 14:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:58
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 13:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:22
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 12:55
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 12:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:51
SHOT
Jack Finley shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P3 12:14
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
P3 11:53
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 11:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:22
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
P3 11:14
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 10:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 09:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 08:58
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P3 08:58
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 08:42
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:36
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 07:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 05:33
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
P3 04:22
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
P3 03:41
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P3 03:10
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 03:10
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
P3 02:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 01:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:01
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 18:01
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 17:36
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
P2 17:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:40
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
P2 15:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 15:37
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P2 15:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 15:26
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jack Finley
P2 15:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:13
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
P2 15:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:58
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P2 12:16
Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:57
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
P2 11:43
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
P2 11:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 11:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 11:09
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 11:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 10:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 09:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 09:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 08:44
Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P2 07:04
Giveaway by Kris Letang in neutral zone
P2 07:00
Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
P2 06:35
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 06:35
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 06:32
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P2 05:08
Takeaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 03:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P2 02:49
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 02:30
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
P2 01:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 01:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:03
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 01:01
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 01:01
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 00:31
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:35
Giveaway by Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
P1 18:30
SHOT
Jack Finley shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P1 18:27
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:52
Jack Finley won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 17:52
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 17:30
Nick Paul won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 17:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 16:14
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 16:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P1 15:17
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 14:43
Takeaway by Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 14:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P1 13:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 12:25
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P1 12:22
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 12:13
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 12:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
P1 10:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P1 09:50
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
P1 08:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 08:17
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
P1 08:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 07:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 07:18
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 07:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 05:53
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P1 05:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P1 02:51
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 02:31
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 02:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:54
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Penguins
31Shots on Goal27
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
33Penalty Infraction Mins14
15Hits13
8Shots Blocked15
18Giveaways15
LightningTB
PenguinsPIT
31Shots on Goal27
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
33Penalty Infraction Mins14
15Hits13
8Shots Blocked15
18Giveaways15

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Lightning vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Penguins
  • Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -140, Penguins +130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 57%
  • Penguins: 43%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 57%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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