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Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Penguins NHL game on January 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
1
Jan 14, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Jan 14, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
OT1 03:32 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 02:41 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:59 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Bryan Rust
OT1 00:47 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:26 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 19:22 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:35 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 18:05 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P3 17:33 Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:55 Dominic James shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 12:51 Jack Finley shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P3 11:52 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:14 Kris Letang shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 10:28 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 09:02 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 02:47 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 01:42 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:19 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 18:01 Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
End of Shootout period.
Shootout Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov on Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shootout attempt missed by Lightning
Shootout Goal scored by Gage Goncalves on Arturs Silovs
Shootout attempt by Rickard Rakell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
Dominic James won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Dominic James won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dominic James won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Giveaway by Kris Letang in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Arturs Silovs
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Brett Kulak
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Jack Finley shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arturs Silovs
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stoppage - Icing
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Misconduct
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jack Finley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Connor Dewar
Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Misconduct
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arturs Silovs
Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
Giveaway by Kris Letang in neutral zone
Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
Takeaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Lightning won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
SHOT
Jack Finley shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jack Finley won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Nick Paul won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Takeaway by Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Arturs Silovs
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Arturs Silovs
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 57% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 33 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 57% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 33 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Lightning vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Penguins
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -140, Penguins +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 57%
- Penguins: 43%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 57%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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