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Lightning vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Flyers NHL game on January 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
5
1
Jan 13, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Jan 13, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 3 1 5
Flyers
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
FlyersPHI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 3 1 5
Flyers
0 1 0 1
P3 19:53 Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P3 16:39 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Anthony Cirelli (Empty Net)
P3 16:37 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 16:26 Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
P3 16:15 Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P3 15:14 Noah Cates shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:08 Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 14:35 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:26 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 10:04 Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:06 Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 07:59 Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
P3 07:38 Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 06:36 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 06:08 Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dan Vladar
P3 05:31 Power play - Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 04:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:59 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:53
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P3 19:16
Denver Barkey won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 17:26
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in defensive zone
P3 17:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:24
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 16:39
Nick Paul won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
P3 16:39
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Anthony Cirelli (Empty Net)
5-1
P3 16:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
5-1
P3 16:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
P3 16:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P3 15:16
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 15:14
SHOT
Noah Cates shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 14:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 13:23
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 13:23
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 10:53
Lightning won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
P3 10:36
Penalty to Travis Konecny 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
P3 10:36
Lightning won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
P3 10:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:04
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:06
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 08:40
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 07:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
P3 07:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 07:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:17
Noah Cates won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 07:17
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 06:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 06:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dan Vladar
P3 05:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 04:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Dan Vladar
P3 03:46
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 03:46
Penalty to Rodrigo Abols 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 03:06
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 03:06
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P3 02:55
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 02:55
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:17
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Flyers in defensive zone
P3 02:11
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 02:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 00:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 19:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Andrae
P2 19:29
Noah Cates won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 19:29
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
4-1
P2 18:21
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P2 18:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Dan Vladar
P2 17:25
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 16:18
Penalty to Travis Konecny 2 minutes for Roughing
P2 16:18
Oliver Bjorkstrand won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P2 15:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 15:05
Nick Paul won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in defensive zone
P2 15:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cam York
P2 13:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P2 13:01
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 13:01
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Noah Cates)
P2 12:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P2 11:45
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
P2 11:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 11:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 10:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 07:51
Shorthanded - Takeaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P2 07:39
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 07:29
SHOT
Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 06:00
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P2 05:40
GOAL
Goal scored by Christian Dvorak
3-1
P2 05:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 04:29
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
P2 04:29
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
P2 04:29
Penalty to Oliver Bjorkstrand 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:27
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point
2-0
P2 04:06
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P2 04:06
Penalty to Rodrigo Abols 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dominic James)
P2 02:51
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P2 01:55
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 01:29
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P2 00:59
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P2 00:33
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Erik Cernak and Brandon Hagel
2-0
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:13
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 19:13
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 18:52
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P1 18:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Dan Vladar
P1 16:41
SHOT
Travis Konecny shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 16:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 14:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 14:48
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P1 14:21
Noah Cates won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 14:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Dan Vladar
P1 13:52
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P1 13:31
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 13:16
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P1 12:11
SHOT
Sean Couturier shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 12:01
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Sean Couturier
P1 11:13
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 11:13
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 10:56
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Carl Grundstrom
P1 09:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
P1 09:07
Giveaway by Garnet Hathaway in neutral zone
P1 08:17
Giveaway by Travis Sanheim in offensive zone
P1 07:57
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 05:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rodrigo Abols saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 04:12
Noah Cates won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P1 04:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Denver Barkey
P1 02:38
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Owen Tippett in defensive zone
P1 01:33
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 01:23
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P1 01:10
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 01:10
GOAL
Goal scored by Pontus Holmberg assisted by Zemgus Girgensons and Yanni Gourde
1-0
P1 00:13
Takeaway by Rasmus Ristolainen in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Flyers
26Shots on Goal21
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
32Penalty Infraction Mins46
10Hits32
11Shots Blocked17
9Giveaways19
LightningTB
FlyersPHI
26Shots on Goal21
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
32Penalty Infraction Mins46
10Hits32
11Shots Blocked17
9Giveaways19

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Lightning vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Flyers
  • Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -144, Flyers +126

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 58%
  • Flyers: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 58%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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