Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche NHL game on January 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
4
3
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 1 4
Avalanche
2 0 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
  • Avalanche
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 1 4
Avalanche
2 0 1 0 3
OT1 03:59 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Auston Matthews
OT1 03:10 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Trent Miner
OT1 01:49 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
OT1 01:38 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 19:56 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 18:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:33 Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 14:57 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:38 Max Domi shot blocked by Jack Drury
P3 14:14 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
P3 13:57 Jack Drury shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 12:55 Goal scored by Martin Necas
P3 10:51 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 10:51 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:24 Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by William Nylander and Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 10:01 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:53 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 08:09 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 07:06 John Tavares shot blocked by Zakhar Bardakov
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 03:59
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  3. OT1 03:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Auston Matthews
    4-3
  4. OT1 03:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Trent Miner
  5. OT1 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
  6. OT1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  7. OT1 00:41
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  8. OT1 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  9. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  10. P3 19:56
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  11. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
  12. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  13. P3 17:18
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  14. P3 16:56
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  15. P3 16:56
    Stoppage - Offside
  16. P3 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
  17. P3 14:40
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  18. P3 14:38
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Jack Drury
  19. P3 14:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
  20. P3 13:59
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  21. P3 13:57
    SHOT
    Jack Drury shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  22. P3 13:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  23. P3 12:55
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  24. P3 12:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Martin Necas
    3-3
  25. P3 10:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  26. P3 10:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
  27. P3 10:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by William Nylander and Oliver Ekman-Larsson
    3-2
  28. P3 10:08
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  29. P3 10:08
    Penalty to Martin Necas 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Scott Laughton)
  30. P3 10:01
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  31. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Joseph Woll
  32. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
  33. P3 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  34. P3 07:59
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  35. P3 07:10
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  36. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    John Tavares shot blocked by Zakhar Bardakov
  37. P3 06:11
    Power play - Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  38. P3 05:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
  39. P3 05:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
  40. P3 04:31
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  41. P3 03:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  42. P3 03:41
    Giveaway by Trent Miner in defensive zone
  43. P3 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
  44. P3 02:36
    Giveaway by Martin Necas in defensive zone
  45. P3 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Drury
  46. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Joseph Woll
  47. P3 01:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P3 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  49. P3 00:43
    Takeaway by Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  50. P3 00:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
  51. P3 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  54. P2 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
  55. P2 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  56. P2 17:32
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  57. P2 17:30
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  58. P2 17:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  59. P2 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Trent Miner
  60. P2 16:38
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by teammate
  61. P2 16:25
    Jake McCabe won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
  62. P2 16:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Joseph Woll
  63. P2 15:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
  64. P2 15:06
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  65. P2 14:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Trent Miner
  66. P2 13:50
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  67. P2 13:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  68. P2 12:59
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  69. P2 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Joseph Woll
  70. P2 12:14
    Takeaway by Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
  71. P2 11:21
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Jack Drury
  72. P2 10:36
    Stoppage - High Stick
  73. P2 09:18
    Penalty to Ivan Ivan 2 minutes for Misconduct
  74. P2 08:01
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  75. P2 07:39
    Ivan Ivan won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  76. P2 06:52
    Giveaway by Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
  77. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sam Malinski
  78. P2 06:24
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  79. P2 06:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  80. P2 06:02
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Brent Burns
  81. P2 04:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Trent Miner
  82. P2 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Trent Miner
  83. P2 02:12
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  84. P2 02:12
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bobby McMann
    2-2
  85. P2 02:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 02:03
    SHOT
    Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Easton Cowan
  87. P2 01:27
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ivan Ivan in defensive zone
  88. P2 01:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  89. P2 00:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  90. P2 00:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  91. P2 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  92. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  93. P1 19:51
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  94. P1 19:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  95. P1 19:48
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  96. P1 18:43
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  97. P1 18:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Joseph Woll
  98. P1 18:07
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  99. P1 17:53
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  100. P1 17:48
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  101. P1 17:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brent Burns
  102. P1 16:42
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  103. P1 16:12
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:12
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Martin Necas and Nathan MacKinnon
    1-1
  105. P1 16:02
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  106. P1 15:46
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  107. P1 15:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Trent Miner
  108. P1 15:09
    SHOT
    Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Sam Malinski
  109. P1 14:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
  110. P1 14:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  111. P1 14:01
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  112. P1 14:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Trent Miner
  113. P1 13:29
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  114. P1 12:38
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Matias Maccelli
  115. P1 12:29
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  116. P1 12:18
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  117. P1 12:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Joseph Woll
  118. P1 11:55
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  119. P1 11:15
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  120. P1 10:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
  121. P1 10:51
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Maple Leafs
    1-0
  122. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Matthew Knies shot blocked by Cale Makar
  123. P1 09:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P1 09:08
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  125. P1 08:53
    Jack Drury won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  126. P1 08:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
  127. P1 08:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  128. P1 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
  129. P1 08:07
    William Nylander won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  130. P1 08:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  131. P1 07:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
  132. P1 06:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Trent Miner
  133. P1 06:51
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  134. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Trent Miner
  135. P1 06:31
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by John Tavares
  136. P1 06:02
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  137. P1 05:51
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
  138. P1 05:27
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  139. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
  140. P1 05:15
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
  141. P1 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
  142. P1 04:44
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by John Tavares
  143. P1 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
  144. P1 03:20
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Martin Necas in offensive zone
  145. P1 02:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  146. P1 02:35
    Giveaway by Ivan Ivan in neutral zone
  147. P1 02:12
    Giveaway by Samuel Girard in offensive zone
  148. P1 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Kelly
  149. P1 00:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
  151. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Avalanche
31Shots on Goal34
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
13Hits14
22 Shots Blocked 12
15Giveaways22
Maple LeafsTOR
AvalancheCOL
31Shots on Goal34
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
13Hits14
22 Shots Blocked 12
15Giveaways22

Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +192, Avalanche -215

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 35%
  • Avalanche: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 35%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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