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Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche NHL game on January 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Jan 13, 3AM Ball Arena
Jan 13, 3AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Avalanche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Avalanche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 03:59 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Auston Matthews
OT1 03:10 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Trent Miner
OT1 01:49 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
OT1 01:38 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 19:56 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 18:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:33 Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 14:57 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:38 Max Domi shot blocked by Jack Drury
P3 14:14 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
P3 13:57 Jack Drury shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 12:55 Goal scored by Martin Necas
P3 10:51 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 10:51 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:24 Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by William Nylander and Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 10:01 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:53 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 08:09 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 07:06 John Tavares shot blocked by Zakhar Bardakov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Auston Matthews
4-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Trent Miner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Jack Drury
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
Jack Drury won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Jack Drury shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Martin Necas
3-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by William Nylander and Oliver Ekman-Larsson
3-2
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Penalty to Martin Necas 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Scott Laughton)
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Zakhar Bardakov
Power play - Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
Giveaway by Trent Miner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Martin Necas in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Drury
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Joseph Woll
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Trent Miner
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by teammate
Jake McCabe won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Trent Miner
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Jack Drury
Stoppage - High Stick
Penalty to Ivan Ivan 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Ivan Ivan won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Giveaway by Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sam Malinski
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Brent Burns
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Trent Miner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Trent Miner
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann
2-2
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Easton Cowan
John Tavares won faceoff against Ivan Ivan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Necas
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brent Burns
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Martin Necas and Nathan MacKinnon
1-1
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Trent Miner
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Sam Malinski
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Trent Miner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Matias Maccelli
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Joseph Woll
Jack Drury won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
GOAL
Goal scored by Maple Leafs
1-0
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Cale Makar
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Trent Miner
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
William Nylander won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Trent Miner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Trent Miner
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by John Tavares
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Martin Necas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Ivan Ivan in neutral zone
Giveaway by Samuel Girard in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Kelly
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 13 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 22 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 22 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 13 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 22 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 22 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
- Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): Not Available
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +192, Avalanche -215
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 35%
- Avalanche: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 35%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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