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Canadiens vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Stars NHL game on January 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Jan 4, 7PM American Airlines Center
Jan 4, 7PM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Stars | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Stars | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 03:39 Goal scored by Lane Hutson
OT1 03:31 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Thomas Harley
OT1 03:23 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 03:12 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Noah Dobson
OT1 02:18 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
OT1 02:07 Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Samuel Montembeault
OT1 01:53 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
OT1 01:37 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
OT1 01:24 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 00:58 Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P3 15:54 Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P3 14:47 Esa Lindell shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:39 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 14:33 Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 13:01 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 11:55 Esa Lindell shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 11:44 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:07 Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
P3 11:04 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Canadiens won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Lane Hutson
4-3
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Samuel Montembeault
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
Shorthanded - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Hooking
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
3-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Phillip Danault
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Mikko Rantanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
Giveaway by Roope Hintz in offensive zone
Giveaway by Alexander Petrovic in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
Lane Hutson credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
3-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Sam Steel 2 minutes for Slashing
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Owen Beck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
Shorthanded - Oskar Back won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen
2-2
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Jake Oettinger
Jamie Benn won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage
Owen Beck won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Zachary Bolduc)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Stars
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Beck
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
SHOT
Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jake Oettinger
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Penalty to Ilya Lyubushkin 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Zachary Bolduc)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jake Oettinger
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Radek Faksa in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Radek Faksa
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
Penalty to Jamie Benn 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Duchene
SHOT
Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Owen Beck shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Samuel Montembeault
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jamie Benn in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque
1-1
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Erne
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jake Oettinger
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Duchene
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
Oskar Back won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Oskar Back
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Oskar Back
SHOT
Shot missed by Nils Lundkvist
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
SHOT
Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
Giveaway by Alexandre Texier in neutral zone
Giveaway by Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Giveaway by Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
Game Prediction Article
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Canadiens vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Stars
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +175, Stars -185
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 39%
- Stars: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 39%, while the Stars have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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