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Red Wings vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Penguins NHL game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Jan 2, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Jan 2, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wings | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Penguins | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wings | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Penguins | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
OT1 00:58 Goal scored by Kris Letang assisted by Sidney Crosby and Bryan Rust
OT1 00:24 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Cam Talbot
OT1 00:10 Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 19:01 Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:40 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Cam Talbot
P3 17:37 Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 17:16 Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 17:01 Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 16:59 Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 16:55 Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
P3 15:47 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P3 15:31 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 15:19 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Cam Talbot
P3 15:16 Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 15:11 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Cam Talbot
P3 14:37 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Cam Talbot
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cam Talbot
P3 13:12 Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 12:46 Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
End of 1st OT.
Red Wings won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kris Letang assisted by Sidney Crosby and Bryan Rust
3-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Takeaway by Lucas Raymond in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Albert Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Cam Talbot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Jack St. Ivany 2 minutes for Delay of Game
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cam Talbot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage
Simon Edvinsson credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
Penguins challenge (Offside), call reversed
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Arturs Silovs
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Cam Talbot
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Cam Talbot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Cam Talbot
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
SHOT
Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by J.T. Compher)
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Thomas Novak
Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Penguins won faceoff against Red Wings in offensive zone
Red Wings won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Andrew Copp
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Cam Talbot
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Penalty to Lucas Raymond 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
Giveaway by Marco Kasper in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Bryan Rust
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Moritz Seider
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Cam Talbot
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Giveaway by Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Arturs Silovs
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Compher
Shorthanded - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cam Talbot
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Penalty to Lucas Raymond 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ben Kindel)
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
Power play - James van Riemsdyk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Bryan Rust 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by James van Riemsdyk in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Marco Kasper
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Cam Talbot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Giveaway by Cam Talbot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Cam Talbot
Andrew Copp credited with hit on Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Cam Talbot
Marco Kasper credited with hit on Brett Kulak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Arturs Silovs
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
SHOT
Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
Jacob Bernard-Docker credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
J.T. Compher shot blocked by teammate
Thomas Novak won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Cam Talbot
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Andrew Copp shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Kris Letang
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
SHOT
Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
SHOT
Power play - Moritz Seider shot blocked by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Cam Talbot
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by James van Riemsdyk assisted by Marco Kasper
1-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
Power play - Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Thomas Novak 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Patrick Kane)
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Albert Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Power play - James van Riemsdyk credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Cam Talbot
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Parker Wotherspoon 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Michael Rasmussen)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Power play - Takeaway by Nate Danielson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Marco Kasper)
SHOT
Red Wings shot blocked by teammate
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Connor Dewar in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Albert Johansson shot blocked by teammate
Jacob Bernard-Docker credited with hit on Ryan Shea in defensive zone
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Takeaway by Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Arturs Silovs
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Arturs Silovs
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Sidney Crosby
0-2
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Arturs Silovs
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Anthony Mantha and Erik Karlsson
0-1
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Penalty to Nate Danielson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Justin Brazeau)
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
Mason Appleton credited with hit on Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
Giveaway by Albert Johansson in defensive zone
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Power play - Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Erik Karlsson credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Simon Edvinsson)
Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 8/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 8/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Red Wings vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Wings vs. Penguins
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +118, Penguins -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Wings: 46%
- Penguins: 54%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 46%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Wings vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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