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Rangers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rangers vs. Capitals NHL game on December 31, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
6
Dec 31, 5:30PM Capital One Arena
Dec 31, 5:30PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rangers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rangers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
P3 19:52 Carson Soucy shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:12 Goal scored by Justin Sourdif assisted by Tom Wilson and Aliaksei Protas (Empty Net)
P3 18:37 Adam Fox shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 18:16 Goal scored by Braden Schneider
P3 16:48 Shot missed by Matthew Robertson
P3 16:37 Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Connor McMichael
P3 16:28 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jonathan Quick
P3 15:55 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 15:49 Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:27 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 13:34 Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Rasmus Sandin and Nic Dowd
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jonathan Quick
P3 12:47 Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:59 Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 11:57 Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P3 10:37 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:30 Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P3 10:25 Shot missed by Matthew Robertson
P3 10:13 Shot on goal by Gabe Perreault saved by Charlie Lindgren
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by teammate
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Sourdif assisted by Tom Wilson and Aliaksei Protas (Empty Net)
3-6
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by John Carlson
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Braden Schneider
3-5
Will Borgen credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Robertson
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Connor McMichael
2-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jonathan Quick
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Giveaway by Tom Wilson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
Giveaway by Adam Fox in offensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Rasmus Sandin and Nic Dowd
2-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jonathan Quick
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Adam Fox in neutral zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Robertson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabe Perreault saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Matthew Robertson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jonathan Quick
Takeaway by Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Will Cuylle shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Carrick
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by teammate
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Braden Schneider
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Sam Carrick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
Braden Schneider credited with hit on Tom Wilson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Rempe saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by Dylan Strome
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Dylan McIlrath
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Takeaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Borgen saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Will Cuylle
Power play - Tom Wilson credited with hit on Braden Schneider in offensive zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Will Borgen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jonathan Quick
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jonathan Quick
Shorthanded - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Penalty to Adam Fox 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by John Carlson)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jonathan Quick
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabe Perreault saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonny Brodzinski
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Adam Fox assisted by Mika Zibanejad and Artemi Panarin
2-3
SHOT
Power play - Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Conor Sheary)
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Conor Sheary
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Taylor Raddysh in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Jonny Brodzinski won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braden Schneider saved by Charlie Lindgren
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Mika Zibanejad
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Will Cuylle
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by John Carlson
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Adam Fox
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Power play - Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Vladislav Gavrikov saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Sam Carrick 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Jonny Brodzinski shot blocked by Dylan McIlrath
SHOT
Sam Carrick shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Laba saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Giveaway by Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by teammate
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan McIlrath saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Braden Schneider
Giveaway by Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Conor Sheary in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jonathan Quick
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Jonathan Quick
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
Power play - Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Power play - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Ethen Frank shot blocked by Will Cuylle
SHOT
Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Carson Soucy
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Taylor Raddysh in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Will Cuylle
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Will Cuylle in offensive zone
Penalty to Vincent Trocheck 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Ryan Leonard)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
Takeaway by Alexis Lafreniere in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
Giveaway by Adam Fox in defensive zone
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Rangers shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Charlie Lindgren
Noah Laba won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Nic Dowd
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Alexis Lafreniere
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Mika Zibanejad
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Braden Schneider
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Will Borgen
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jonathan Quick
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Raddysh
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Noah Laba in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Jonathan Quick
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabe Perreault
Gabe Perreault won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Will Cuylle
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Braden Schneider
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Mika Zibanejad
Matt Rempe credited with hit on Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan McIlrath saved by Jonathan Quick
Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in neutral zone
Noah Laba credited with hit on Dylan McIlrath in offensive zone
Takeaway by Carson Soucy in offensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Borgen saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 11 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 7 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 27 | Shots Blocked | 21 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 11 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 7 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 27 | Shots Blocked | 21 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Rangers vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rangers vs. Capitals
- Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rangers +118, Capitals -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rangers: 44%
- Capitals: 56%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rangers a win probability of 44%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rangers vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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