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Sabres vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Stars NHL game on December 31, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Sabres
4
1
Jan 1, 1AM American Airlines Center
Stars
Jan 1, 1AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Sabres
0 2 2 4
Stars
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SabresBUF
Win %
100%
0%
StarsDAL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
0 2 2 4
Stars
1 0 0 1
P3 19:17 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 18:50 Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
P3 16:00 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:59 Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 15:57 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:29 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 15:04 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 14:59 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:17 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:56 Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:35 Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Noah Ostlund and Owen Power
P3 11:34 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 11:02 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:01 Jamie Benn shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 10:56 Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 09:19 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 09:18 Josh Doan shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:09 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:55 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:38
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
P3 19:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 18:50
SHOT
Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
P3 17:09
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P3 17:09
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 16:26
Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
P3 16:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:59
SHOT
Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 15:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:31
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P3 15:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 15:27
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P3 15:27
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 15:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 15:01
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P3 15:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 14:24
Takeaway by Josh Dunne in defensive zone
P3 13:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 13:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:59
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P3 12:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:54
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P3 12:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:17
Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 11:35
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P3 11:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Noah Ostlund and Owen Power
4-1
P3 11:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 11:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:01
SHOT
Jamie Benn shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 10:56
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 09:21
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
P3 09:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 09:18
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:55
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 08:48
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:03
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Roope Hintz
P3 08:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 07:48
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
P3 07:28
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
P3 07:28
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 06:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 05:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 05:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 03:59
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P3 02:54
Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P3 02:54
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P3 02:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 01:51
SHOT
Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 01:37
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
P3 01:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 00:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 00:34
Giveaway by Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P3 00:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 00:00
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 18:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 18:36
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P2 18:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 18:20
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 18:20
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P2 17:22
SHOT
Josh Dunne shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P2 17:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Dunne
P2 17:05
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
P2 17:05
GOAL
Goal scored by Bowen Byram assisted by Noah Ostlund and Alex Tuch
2-1
P2 16:17
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P2 16:17
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 16:09
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P2 16:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
P2 16:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P2 15:52
Takeaway by Josh Doan in neutral zone
P2 15:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 15:09
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 15:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 13:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 13:37
Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
P2 13:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 13:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
P2 13:10
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P2 13:10
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 12:45
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Michael Kesselring
P2 12:44
Sam Steel won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
P2 12:44
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:22
SHOT
Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Radek Faksa
P2 12:20
Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P2 12:20
Stoppage - Icing
P2 11:42
Takeaway by Bowen Byram in neutral zone
P2 10:57
Giveaway by Matt Duchene in defensive zone
P2 09:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 09:35
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P2 09:33
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 09:33
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P2 08:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 08:49
Giveaway by Michael Kesselring in defensive zone
P2 08:44
Josh Norris won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P2 08:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 08:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 07:44
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
P2 07:44
GOAL
Goal scored by Josh Doan assisted by Tage Thompson
1-1
P2 06:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 06:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 05:54
Power play - Giveaway by Matt Duchene in neutral zone
P2 05:30
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 04:44
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P2 04:44
Penalty to Josh Doan 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Thomas Harley)
P2 04:15
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P2 04:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 04:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 03:21
SHOT
Power play - Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P2 02:44
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
P2 02:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:41
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 01:47
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
P2 01:41
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P2 01:31
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
P2 01:30
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 01:30
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:05
SHOT
Sam Steel shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 00:14
Giveaway by Alex Tuch in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Metsa saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 18:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 18:35
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 18:35
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 18:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
P1 18:03
SHOT
Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P1 17:49
Giveaway by Jamie Benn in neutral zone
P1 17:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 17:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
P1 16:54
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
P1 16:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 16:27
Josh Norris won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
P1 16:27
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 16:13
Josh Norris won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
P1 16:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 16:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 16:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 15:26
Takeaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
P1 14:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 14:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Dunne
P1 13:25
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
P1 12:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 12:23
Josh Norris won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P1 12:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 11:59
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
P1 11:52
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
P1 11:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 11:28
Sam Steel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 11:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 11:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 10:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 10:29
Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
P1 10:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 10:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 10:10
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Dunne in offensive zone
P1 10:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 09:57
Takeaway by Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P1 09:24
Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 09:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
P1 08:43
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Jamie Benn
P1 08:33
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Jamie Benn
P1 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 06:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P1 06:09
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P1 06:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 06:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 06:01
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P1 06:01
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P1 05:04
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 04:56
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
P1 04:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 04:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
P1 04:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
P1 03:10
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P1 03:10
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
P1 03:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 02:15
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 01:54
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P1 01:54
Stoppage - Offside
P1 01:48
SHOT
Power play - Owen Power shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P1 01:41
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
P1 01:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 01:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 01:02
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in neutral zone
P1 00:50
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
P1 00:48
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
P1 00:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Josh Norris
P1 00:38
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P1 00:38
Penalty to Radek Faksa 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Josh Dunne)
P1 00:37
Alexander Petrovic credited with hit on Jordan Greenway in defensive zone
P1 00:15
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in neutral zone
P1 00:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque assisted by Miro Heiskanen
0-1
P1 00:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 00:04
Giveaway by Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Josh Norris won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Stars
31Shots on Goal29
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
24Hits15
9Shots Blocked12
14Giveaways12
SabresBUF
StarsDAL
31Shots on Goal29
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
24Hits15
9Shots Blocked12
14Giveaways12

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Sabres vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Stars
  • Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres +235, Stars -155

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 41%
  • Stars: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 41%, while the Stars have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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