Sabres vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Stars NHL game on December 31, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Sabres
4
1
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123T
Sabres
0 2 2 4
Stars
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sabres
    100%
  • Stars
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
0 2 2 4
Stars
1 0 0 1
P3 19:17 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 18:50 Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
P3 16:00 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:59 Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 15:57 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:29 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 15:04 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 14:59 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:17 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:56 Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:35 Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Noah Ostlund and Owen Power
P3 11:34 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 11:02 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:01 Jamie Benn shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 10:56 Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 09:19 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 09:18 Josh Doan shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:09 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:55 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:38
    Josh Dunne won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  4. P3 18:50
    SHOT
    Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
  5. P3 17:09
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  7. P3 16:26
    Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
  8. P3 16:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  9. P3 15:59
    SHOT
    Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  10. P3 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  11. P3 15:31
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  12. P3 15:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. P3 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  14. P3 15:27
    Alex Tuch won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
  15. P3 15:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  16. P3 15:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  17. P3 15:01
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  18. P3 15:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  19. P3 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Casey DeSmith
  20. P3 14:24
    Takeaway by Josh Dunne in defensive zone
  21. P3 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  22. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  23. P3 12:59
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  24. P3 12:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  25. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  26. P3 12:54
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  27. P3 12:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  28. P3 12:17
    Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  29. P3 11:35
    Josh Dunne won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  30. P3 11:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Noah Ostlund and Owen Power
    4-1
  31. P3 11:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  32. P3 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  33. P3 11:01
    SHOT
    Jamie Benn shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  34. P3 10:56
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Zach Benson
  35. P3 09:21
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
  36. P3 09:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
  37. P3 09:18
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by teammate
  38. P3 09:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
  39. P3 08:55
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  40. P3 08:48
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
  41. P3 08:03
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Roope Hintz
  42. P3 08:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  43. P3 07:48
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
  44. P3 07:28
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  45. P3 07:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  46. P3 06:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
  47. P3 05:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  48. P3 05:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  49. P3 03:59
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  50. P3 02:54
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  51. P3 02:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  52. P3 02:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  53. P3 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  54. P3 01:51
    SHOT
    Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
  55. P3 01:37
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
  56. P3 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  57. P3 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
  58. P3 00:34
    Giveaway by Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  59. P3 00:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  60. P3 00:00
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  61. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  62. P2 18:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Casey DeSmith
  63. P2 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
  64. P2 18:36
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  65. P2 18:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P2 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  67. P2 18:20
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  68. P2 18:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  69. P2 18:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  70. P2 17:22
    SHOT
    Josh Dunne shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  71. P2 17:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Dunne
  72. P2 17:05
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
  73. P2 17:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bowen Byram assisted by Noah Ostlund and Alex Tuch
    2-1
  74. P2 16:17
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  75. P2 16:17
    Stoppage - High Stick
  76. P2 16:09
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  77. P2 16:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Roope Hintz
  79. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  80. P2 15:52
    Takeaway by Josh Doan in neutral zone
  81. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Casey DeSmith
  82. P2 15:09
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  83. P2 15:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  84. P2 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Casey DeSmith
  85. P2 13:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  86. P2 13:37
    Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
  87. P2 13:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  88. P2 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  89. P2 13:10
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  90. P2 13:10
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  91. P2 12:45
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Michael Kesselring
  92. P2 12:44
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  93. P2 12:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  94. P2 12:22
    SHOT
    Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Radek Faksa
  95. P2 12:20
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  96. P2 12:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  97. P2 11:42
    Takeaway by Bowen Byram in neutral zone
  98. P2 10:57
    Giveaway by Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  99. P2 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  100. P2 09:35
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  101. P2 09:33
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  102. P2 09:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  103. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  104. P2 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  105. P2 08:49
    Giveaway by Michael Kesselring in defensive zone
  106. P2 08:44
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  107. P2 08:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  108. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  109. P2 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  110. P2 07:44
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
  111. P2 07:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Josh Doan assisted by Tage Thompson
    1-1
  112. P2 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Casey DeSmith
  113. P2 06:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  114. P2 05:54
    Power play - Giveaway by Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  115. P2 05:30
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  116. P2 04:44
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  117. P2 04:44
    Penalty to Josh Doan 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Thomas Harley)
  118. P2 04:15
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  119. P2 04:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  120. P2 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Casey DeSmith
  121. P2 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Casey DeSmith
  122. P2 03:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  123. P2 03:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  124. P2 02:44
    Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  125. P2 02:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P2 02:41
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  127. P2 01:47
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  128. P2 01:41
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  129. P2 01:31
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
  130. P2 01:30
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  131. P2 01:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P2 01:05
    SHOT
    Sam Steel shot blocked by Owen Power
  133. P2 00:14
    Giveaway by Alex Tuch in neutral zone
  134. P2 00:00
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  135. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  136. P1 19:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Metsa saved by Casey DeSmith
  137. P1 18:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  138. P1 18:35
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  139. P1 18:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  140. P1 18:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  141. P1 18:03
    SHOT
    Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  142. P1 17:49
    Giveaway by Jamie Benn in neutral zone
  143. P1 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  144. P1 17:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  145. P1 16:54
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
  146. P1 16:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 16:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  148. P1 16:27
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  149. P1 16:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  150. P1 16:13
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  151. P1 16:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  152. P1 16:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  153. P1 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  154. P1 15:26
    Takeaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
  155. P1 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  156. P1 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Dunne
  157. P1 13:25
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
  158. P1 12:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
  159. P1 12:23
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
  160. P1 12:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  161. P1 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Casey DeSmith
  162. P1 11:59
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
  163. P1 11:52
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  164. P1 11:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  165. P1 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
  166. P1 11:28
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  167. P1 11:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  168. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Casey DeSmith
  169. P1 10:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Casey DeSmith
  170. P1 10:29
    Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  171. P1 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  172. P1 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  173. P1 10:10
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Josh Dunne in offensive zone
  174. P1 10:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  175. P1 10:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  176. P1 09:57
    Takeaway by Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  177. P1 09:24
    Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  178. P1 09:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  179. P1 08:43
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Jamie Benn
  180. P1 08:33
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Jamie Benn
  181. P1 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  182. P1 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  183. P1 06:09
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  184. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Casey DeSmith
  185. P1 06:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
  186. P1 06:01
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  187. P1 06:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  188. P1 05:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  189. P1 05:04
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  190. P1 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Casey DeSmith
  191. P1 04:56
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  192. P1 04:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  193. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Casey DeSmith
  194. P1 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  195. P1 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Casey DeSmith
  196. P1 03:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Roope Hintz
  197. P1 03:10
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  198. P1 03:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
  199. P1 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  200. P1 02:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  201. P1 01:54
    Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  202. P1 01:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  203. P1 01:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Owen Power shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  204. P1 01:41
    Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  205. P1 01:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  206. P1 01:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Casey DeSmith
  207. P1 01:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Casey DeSmith
  208. P1 01:02
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in neutral zone
  209. P1 00:50
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  210. P1 00:48
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  211. P1 00:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Josh Norris
  212. P1 00:38
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  213. P1 00:38
    Penalty to Radek Faksa 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Josh Dunne)
  214. P1 00:37
    Alexander Petrovic credited with hit on Jordan Greenway in defensive zone
  215. P1 00:15
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in neutral zone
  216. P1 00:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque assisted by Miro Heiskanen
    0-1
  217. P1 00:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  218. P1 00:04
    Giveaway by Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  219. P1 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  220. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Stars
31Shots on Goal29
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
24Hits15
9 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways12
SabresBUF
StarsDAL
31Shots on Goal29
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
24Hits15
9 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways12

Sabres vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Stars
  • Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres +235, Stars -155

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 41%
  • Stars: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 41%, while the Stars have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.