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Lightning vs. Ducks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Ducks NHL game on December 31, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Dec 31, 9PM Honda Center
Dec 31, 9PM Honda Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Ducks | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Ducks | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 02:47 Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Brandon Hagel
OT1 02:28 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
OT1 02:26 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
OT1 01:25 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:08 Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:56 Troy Terry shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 17:17 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 16:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 16:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 16:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 15:40 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 15:37 Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Nikita Nesterenko saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:50 Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Olen Zellweger
P3 13:02 Power play - Goal scored by Mason McTavish assisted by Pavel Mintyukov
P3 12:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:55 Power play - Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:37 Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
P3 10:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Mason McTavish saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Lightning won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Brandon Hagel
4-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
Takeaway by Jacob Trouba in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Troy Terry shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Takeaway by Troy Terry in offensive zone
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Beckett Sennecke in neutral zone
Giveaway by Drew Helleson in defensive zone
Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Lukas Dostal
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Lukas Dostal
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Lukas Dostal
Shorthanded - Jacob Trouba credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Pavel Mintyukov 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Nesterenko saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Olen Zellweger
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mason McTavish assisted by Pavel Mintyukov
3-3
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Mason McTavish won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Mason McTavish won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Pavel Mintyukov)
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mason McTavish saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Mason McTavish won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Brandon Hagel and Charle-Edouard D'Astous
3-2
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Chris Kreider 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Point)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Cutter Gauthier in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Beckett Sennecke
2-2
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Dominic James won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jansen Harkins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Brayden Point
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Nesterenko
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Nesterenko saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Terry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Lukas Dostal
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Lukas Dostal
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Nikita Nesterenko
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Lukas Dostal
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Max Crozier and Nikita Kucherov
2-1
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jansen Harkins
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Chris Kreider won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Mason McTavish won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jansen Harkins assisted by Ross Johnston
1-1
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Drew Helleson
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Max Crozier
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Kreider
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ian Moore
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
Dominic James credited with hit on Olen Zellweger in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mason McTavish in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shorthanded - Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Olen Zellweger 2 minutes for Tripping
Takeaway by Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Drew Helleson in defensive zone
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Mikael Granlund shot blocked by Declan Carlile
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
Troy Terry won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Lukas Dostal
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason McTavish saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Mason McTavish in defensive zone
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Chris Kreider won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ian Moore
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason McTavish
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Johnston
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
Chris Kreider won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by teammate
Ryan Poehling credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Lukas Dostal
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves
1-0
Jansen Harkins won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Poehling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Chris Kreider
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
SHOT
Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Ian Moore
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Lukas Dostal
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Lukas Dostal
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Olen Zellweger in neutral zone
Giveaway by Dominic James in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Nesterenko
Nikita Nesterenko credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Nesterenko
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Ian Moore in neutral zone
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 38% | Faceoff Win % | 62% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 22 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 38% | Faceoff Win % | 62% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 22 |
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Lightning vs. Ducks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Ducks
- Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: Honda Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -155, Ducks +143
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 59%
- Ducks: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 59%, while the Ducks have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Honda Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Ducks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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