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Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on October 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
2
Oct 13, 6PM Scotiabank Arena
Oct 13, 6PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
P3 19:58 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 19:47 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P3 19:41 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 19:13 Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 19:04 Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 18:56 Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:43 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 16:56 Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 16:49 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 16:22 Matthew Knies shot blocked by Andrew Copp
P3 16:08 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 13:42 Goal scored by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 13:13 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 12:06 Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 11:10 Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 10:59 Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 10:13 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 10:08 William Nylander shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:52 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Anthony Stolarz
Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Cameron Talbot
Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Giveaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Andrew Copp
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot
Power play - Takeaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in defensive zone
Shorthanded - John Tavares won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Dylan Larkin)
Penalty to Dylan Larkin 2 minutes for Misconduct
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Calle Jarnkrok
2-2
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker in defensive zone
Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by teammate
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Moritz Seider
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cameron Talbot
Giveaway by Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Axel Sandin-Pellikka in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot
Marco Kasper won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by James van Riemsdyk
2-0
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cameron Talbot
Max Domi won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Compher
Takeaway by Moritz Seider in neutral zone
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cameron Talbot
Max Domi won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Matias Maccelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Anthony Stolarz
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Andrew Copp
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Power play - Moritz Seider shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Cameron Talbot
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Maple Leafs 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Max Domi)
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Hooking
Marco Kasper won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Cameron Talbot
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot
Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
Giveaway by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
William Nylander won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Cameron Talbot
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Anthony Stolarz
James van Riemsdyk won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
SHOT
Shot missed by Marco Kasper
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Simon Edvinsson in defensive zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Max Domi won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Bobby McMann
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Albert Johansson
Max Domi won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz
Marco Kasper won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cameron Talbot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by William Nylander
John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Larkin
1-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Marco Kasper
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Cameron Talbot
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Moritz Seider
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by J.T. Compher)
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Albert Johansson
Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Albert Johansson
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Patrick Kane
John Tavares won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cameron Talbot
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Cameron Talbot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
Marco Kasper won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Cameron Talbot
William Nylander won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
Max Domi won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
Giveaway by Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
Giveaway by Chris Tanev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Cameron Talbot
John Tavares won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
John Tavares won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
J.T. Compher shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Giveaway by Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Anthony Stolarz
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Easton Cowan
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 15 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 38% | Faceoff Win % | 62% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 22 |
| |
|---|
| 15 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 38% | Faceoff Win % | 62% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 22 |
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Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, October 13, 2025
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +155, Maple Leafs -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Wings: 42%
- Maple Leafs: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 42%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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