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Maple Leafs vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Stars NHL game on December 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
5
Dec 22, 12AM American Airlines Center
Dec 22, 12AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Stars | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Stars | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
P3 19:42 Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 19:40 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 18:08 Philippe Myers shot blocked by Oskar Back
P3 17:54 Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 17:30 Shot missed by Matt Duchene
P3 17:23 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:09 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 16:37 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 15:28 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:38 Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 14:07 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 13:36 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 12:40 Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 12:10 Goal scored by Jamie Benn
P3 11:42 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 10:43 Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P3 10:41 Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P3 09:01 Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 08:39 Goal scored by Scott Laughton
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Philippe Myers
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Oskar Back
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Duchene
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jake Oettinger
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Stars in offensive zone
Stoppage
Stoppage - Icing
William Nylander won faceoff against Stars in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jake Oettinger
Alexander Petrovic credited with hit on Scott Laughton in defensive zone
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Dennis Hildeby
Giveaway by Max Domi in neutral zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jamie Benn
1-2
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Benn
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
Alexander Petrovic credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Dennis Hildeby
William Nylander won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Scott Laughton
1-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Dennis Hildeby
Power play - Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Philippe Myers 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Roope Hintz)
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Jake Oettinger
Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Stars
0-2
Takeaway by Thomas Harley in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Roope Hintz shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Matt Duchene shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Jake Oettinger
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Shorthanded - Roope Hintz won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Radek Faksa
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Oskar Back in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
Penalty to Thomas Harley 2 minutes for High Sticking
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
Power play - Takeaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Alexander Petrovic credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
Penalty to Ilya Lyubushkin 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Scott Laughton)
SHOT
Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Scott Laughton
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jason Robertson)
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
William Nylander won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stars saved by Dennis Hildeby
Stoppage - Offside
Colin Blackwell credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
Maple Leafs challenge (Offside), call reversed
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
GOAL
Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque assisted by Roope Hintz
0-2
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Dennis Hildeby
Giveaway by Max Domi in defensive zone
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jake Oettinger
Philippe Myers credited with hit on Jamie Benn in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
Sam Steel won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by teammate
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Dennis Hildeby
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Esa Lindell in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Bobby McMann won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
Penalty to Jason Robertson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
Power play - Mikko Rantanen credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Penalty to Matias Maccelli 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mikko Rantanen)
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
SHOT
Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Giveaway by Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
Giveaway by Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jake Oettinger
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Alexander Petrovic in defensive zone
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jason Robertson assisted by Oskar Back
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sam Steel
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Miro Heiskanen 2 minutes for Delay of Game
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Alexander Petrovic in offensive zone
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
SHOT
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Matt Duchene
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by teammate
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
Sam Steel won faceoff against Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Duchene
SHOT
Shot missed by Nils Lundkvist
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Nils Lundkvist in neutral zone
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 9 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 24 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 9 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 24 | Giveaways | 10 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Stars
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +185, Stars -215
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 38%
- Stars: 62%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 38%, while the Stars have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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