Loading...

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals NHL game on December 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Loading...
See Full Schedule
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL
Maple Leafs
0
4
Dec 19, 12AM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Dec 19, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 0 0
Capitals
2 0 2 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 0 0
Capitals
2 0 2 4
P3 18:40 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 18:21 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 17:45 Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P3 16:35 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 15:27 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:24 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 14:31 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:24 Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:44 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:22 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 13:03 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 11:49 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 11:21 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 11:20 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:58 Matt Roy shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P3 10:32 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 10:07 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 09:27 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:57 Goal scored by John Carlson
P3 08:53 Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:10
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
P3 18:40
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 18:27
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 18:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 18:10
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 18:10
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 17:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P3 16:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 16:22
Giveaway by Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 15:56
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P3 15:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 15:36
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 15:36
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:29
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 15:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 15:13
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Dakota Joshua in neutral zone
P3 14:42
Dylan Strome won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 14:42
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:24
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:46
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 13:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 13:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 13:03
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 11:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 11:21
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 11:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:58
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P3 10:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 10:07
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 09:30
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 09:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:57
Nic Dowd won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 08:57
GOAL
Goal scored by John Carlson
0-4
P3 08:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P3 08:44
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 08:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 08:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P3 08:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 07:48
Takeaway by Dakota Joshua in offensive zone
P3 07:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:08
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Declan Chisholm in neutral zone
P3 07:03
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Tom Wilson in offensive zone
P3 06:18
SHOT
Power play - Easton Cowan shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 06:11
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 05:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:39
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 05:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:31
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
P3 05:25
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 05:25
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 04:42
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 04:42
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:28
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P3 04:22
Power play - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 04:22
Penalty to Aliaksei Protas 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 04:02
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P3 04:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun assisted by John Carlson and Nic Dowd
0-3
P3 03:00
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 03:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 02:15
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 02:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 02:07
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 02:07
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:41
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 01:08
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 01:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 00:52
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P3 00:52
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 00:44
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
P3 00:41
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
P3 00:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 00:38
John Tavares won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 00:38
Stoppage
P3 00:26
John Tavares won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 00:26
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:11
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Matt Roy in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P2 19:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 18:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P2 17:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 17:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P2 17:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 17:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P2 17:27
Shorthanded - Troy Stecher credited with hit on Tom Wilson in defensive zone
P2 17:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 17:05
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
P2 16:36
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 16:19
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 15:51
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bobby McMann in offensive zone
P2 15:51
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 15:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P2 15:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 14:28
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
P2 14:15
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P2 14:08
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
P2 13:29
Power play - Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
P2 13:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P2 13:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Logan Thompson
P2 13:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 11:42
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 11:42
Penalty to Dylan Strome 2 minutes for Slashing
P2 11:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P2 11:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 10:41
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in neutral zone
P2 10:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 10:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P2 09:54
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 09:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 09:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
P2 09:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 08:40
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 08:40
Stoppage - Icing
P2 08:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Logan Thompson
P2 07:24
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 07:24
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 07:24
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
P2 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P2 06:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:14
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 06:14
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 04:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 04:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P2 04:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 04:14
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P2 04:11
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P2 04:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henry Thrun saved by Logan Thompson
P2 03:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
P2 02:34
Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
P2 02:00
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 02:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 01:30
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Henry Thrun
P2 00:59
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 00:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
P2 00:00
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P1 19:19
Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 19:19
Stoppage - Offside
P1 18:13
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 17:44
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 17:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Logan Thompson
P1 17:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P1 16:16
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 16:16
GOAL
Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun
0-2
P1 16:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P1 15:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bogdan Trineyev saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 15:33
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Bogdan Trineyev
P1 15:06
Nic Dowd won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 15:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
P1 14:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P1 13:53
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 13:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 13:49
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:38
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 11:53
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in neutral zone
P1 11:51
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Alex Ovechkin in neutral zone
P1 11:43
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 11:43
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 11:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 11:38
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 11:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 11:28
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Matt Roy
P1 11:24
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 11:22
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P1 10:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 10:05
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P1 09:55
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Logan Thompson
P1 09:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 09:22
Power play - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 09:22
Penalty to Martin Fehervary 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by William Nylander)
P1 08:48
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
P1 08:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Bogdan Trineyev
P1 08:17
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Logan Thompson
P1 08:12
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P1 08:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 08:04
SHOT
Power play - Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 07:41
Shorthanded - Simon Benoit credited with hit on Sonny Milano in defensive zone
P1 07:07
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P1 06:59
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 06:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 06:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P1 06:23
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 05:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 05:02
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 04:04
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 04:04
Penalty to Scott Laughton 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 04:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Sonny Milano
P1 03:50
SHOT
Declan Chisholm shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 02:53
Takeaway by Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
P1 02:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P1 02:31
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 01:32
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 01:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Logan Thompson
P1 01:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 00:45
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 00:45
Penalty to Aliaksei Protas 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
P1 00:37
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 00:37
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:22
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 00:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 00:00
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Capitals
22Shots on Goal29
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
27Hits13
13Shots Blocked12
16Giveaways18
Maple LeafsTOR
CapitalsWSH
22Shots on Goal29
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
27Hits13
13Shots Blocked12
16Giveaways18

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
Loading...

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Capitals
  • Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +130, Capitals -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 44%
  • Capitals: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 44%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
...
Read Article
US Legal Betting
Sportsbook Promo Codes
Upcoming Games
Loading...