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Islanders vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Red Wings NHL game on December 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Islanders
2
3
Dec 17, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Dec 17, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 0 1 2
Red Wings
0 0 3 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
0%
100%
Red WingsDET
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 0 1 2
Red Wings
0 0 3 3
P3 19:56 Max Shabanov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 19:54 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:49 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Lucas Raymond
P3 19:31 Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 17:43 Power play - Goal scored by Alex DeBrincat assisted by Moritz Seider and Lucas Raymond
P3 17:41 Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 16:57 Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 16:12 Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:48 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 15:43 Shot missed by John Leonard
P3 15:38 Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:30 Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 15:24 Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:59 Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:20 Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:40 Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by John Gibson
P3 11:43 Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P3 11:26 Goal scored by Scott Mayfield assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Anders Lee
P3 11:25 Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P3 10:19 Shot missed by John Leonard
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:56
SHOT
Max Shabanov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 19:54
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:49
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Lucas Raymond
P3 19:49
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 19:47
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 19:31
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:27
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P3 18:27
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 17:43
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P3 17:43
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Alex DeBrincat assisted by Moritz Seider and Lucas Raymond
2-3
P3 17:41
SHOT
Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 16:57
SHOT
Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 16:50
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 16:50
Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dylan Larkin)
P3 16:39
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P3 16:39
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Official Injury
P3 16:12
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:50
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 15:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 15:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 15:45
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 15:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:43
SHOT
Shot missed by John Leonard
P3 15:38
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:32
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P3 15:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 15:30
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 15:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:59
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:18
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P3 14:18
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 13:23
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 13:23
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 13:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by John Gibson
P3 11:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P3 11:26
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P3 11:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Scott Mayfield assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Anders Lee
2-2
P3 11:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P3 11:02
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P3 11:02
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 10:19
SHOT
Shot missed by John Leonard
P3 09:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Islanders saved by John Gibson
P3 09:36
SHOT
Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 09:22
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 09:19
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 08:38
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 08:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:38
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:22
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 07:45
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
P3 06:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Marco Kasper
P3 06:25
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Anders Lee
P3 05:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Mitchell
P3 04:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:31
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
P3 03:55
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P3 03:55
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Alex DeBrincat assisted by Moritz Seider and Lucas Raymond
1-2
P3 03:17
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P3 03:17
Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for Holding
P3 03:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
P3 02:03
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nate Danielson in neutral zone
P3 02:03
GOAL
Goal scored by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
1-1
P3 02:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 01:55
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P3 01:55
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 00:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by John Gibson
P3 00:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by John Gibson
P3 00:28
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 00:28
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:15
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:00
Power play - Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anders Lee
P2 19:12
Power play - Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P2 19:12
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by John Gibson
P2 18:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P2 18:23
SHOT
Max Shabanov shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P2 18:10
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P2 18:10
Penalty to Simon Edvinsson 2 minutes for Hooking
P2 17:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P2 17:46
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P2 17:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 17:30
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P2 17:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P2 17:07
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P2 16:58
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
P2 16:58
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 16:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P2 16:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P2 15:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by John Gibson
P2 15:19
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Andrew Copp
P2 14:44
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Marc Gatcomb in defensive zone
P2 14:26
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P2 14:26
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 14:24
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P2 14:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
P2 13:45
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P2 13:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 12:59
SHOT
John Leonard shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
P2 11:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
P2 11:44
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P2 11:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P2 10:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 10:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P2 09:17
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
P2 09:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Mitchell saved by John Gibson
P2 09:14
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
P2 09:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by John Gibson
P2 09:07
Nate Danielson credited with hit on Travis Mitchell in neutral zone
P2 08:50
SHOT
Shot missed by John Leonard
P2 08:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Leonard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 08:12
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P2 08:12
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 08:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Mitchell saved by John Gibson
P2 07:57
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
P2 07:46
SHOT
James van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P2 07:39
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 07:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:45
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
P2 06:26
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P2 06:26
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P2 06:20
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
P2 06:00
SHOT
Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 05:49
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P2 05:49
Stoppage - Offside
P2 05:14
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P2 05:14
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P2 05:11
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:24
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P2 04:03
Anders Lee won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P2 04:03
Islanders won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 04:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by John Gibson
P2 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 03:25
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P2 03:23
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Nate Danielson
P2 03:03
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Simon Edvinsson in offensive zone
P2 02:26
SHOT
Andrew Copp shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P2 02:22
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P2 02:18
SHOT
Albert Johansson shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P2 01:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
P2 00:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by John Gibson
P2 00:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by John Gibson
P2 00:00
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P1 18:39
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P1 18:39
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by John Gibson
P1 17:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P1 17:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by John Gibson
P1 17:42
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P1 17:38
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P1 17:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by John Gibson
P1 16:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 16:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 16:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
P1 15:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P1 15:34
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P1 14:09
Giveaway by Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P1 14:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 14:04
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 14:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 14:01
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 13:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P1 13:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P1 13:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 13:01
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P1 12:58
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
P1 12:54
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P1 12:54
Stoppage
P1 12:22
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
P1 12:02
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P1 12:02
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 11:54
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 11:54
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P1 11:26
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
P1 10:59
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
P1 10:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:35
SHOT
Albert Johansson shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P1 10:16
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 09:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P1 09:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P1 09:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 09:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 08:46
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P1 08:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 08:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 08:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P1 08:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by John Gibson
P1 07:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by John Gibson
P1 06:57
Giveaway by Emil Heineman in neutral zone
P1 06:51
Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 06:25
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 06:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 05:12
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P1 05:12
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:57
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
P1 04:47
SHOT
James van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P1 04:27
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 04:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Red Wings
P1 04:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P1 04:04
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 04:04
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 03:41
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Elmer Soderblom
P1 02:46
Simon Edvinsson credited with hit on Max Shabanov in defensive zone
P1 02:37
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by John Leonard
P1 02:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P1 02:11
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
P1 02:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by John Gibson
P1 01:37
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
P1 01:27
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 01:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by John Gibson
P1 01:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P1 01:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by John Gibson
P1 00:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P1 00:51
Takeaway by Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P1 00:21
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Simon Edvinsson in offensive zone
P1 00:05
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nate Danielson in neutral zone
P1 00:05
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 00:00
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Casey Cizikas
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Red Wings
18Shots on Goal21
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/2
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
16Hits14
21Shots Blocked19
9Giveaways13
IslandersNYI
Red WingsDET
18Shots on Goal21
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/2
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
16Hits14
21Shots Blocked19
9Giveaways13

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Islanders vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +106, Red Wings -124

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 46%
  • Red Wings: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 46%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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