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Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Lightning NHL game on December 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Panthers
5
2
Dec 16, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Dec 16, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Panthers
2215
Lightning
0112
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PanthersFLA
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Panthers
2215
Lightning
0112
P3 19:59 Power play - Jeff Petry shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 16:51 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 11:02 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Seth Jones
P3 10:15 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:44 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:07 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 07:58 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 07:53 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 07:18 Steven Santini shot blocked by Seth Jones
P3 06:35 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 04:59 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 04:14 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 03:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 03:15 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 03:10 Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
P3 03:03 Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 02:35 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 02:11 Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Brayden Point and Darren Raddysh
P3 02:10 Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 01:31 Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:59
SHOT
Power play - Jeff Petry shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 19:05
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jesper Boqvist in defensive zone
P3 19:05
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by A.J. Greer)
P3 16:55
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jack Studnicka in offensive zone
P3 16:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 15:28
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 14:18
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 14:18
Penalty to Evan Rodrigues 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 13:11
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P3 13:11
Stoppage - Offside
P3 11:02
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Seth Jones
P3 10:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 10:13
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
P3 09:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 08:00
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 08:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 07:58
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 07:53
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 07:18
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Seth Jones
P3 06:37
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 06:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:02
Brayden Point won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P3 05:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 03:55
Power play - Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P3 03:52
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P3 03:52
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Niko Mikkola)
P3 03:52
Penalty to Niko Mikkola 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
P3 03:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 03:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 03:10
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
P3 03:03
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 02:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 02:11
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P3 02:11
GOAL
Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Brayden Point and Darren Raddysh
4-2
P3 02:10
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 01:44
Giveaway by Jeff Petry in defensive zone
P3 01:34
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P3 01:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 01:25
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 01:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 01:21
Brayden Point won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P3 01:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:12
Seth Jones credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P3 00:46
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 00:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 00:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 00:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:41
Nick Paul won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 19:41
Stoppage - Offside
P2 19:27
Brayden Point won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 19:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Crozier assisted by Oliver Bjorkstrand and Brayden Point
4-1
P2 18:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P2 18:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P2 18:08
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 18:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
P2 18:07
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Sam Reinhart assisted by Mackie Samoskevich
4-0
P2 17:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Seth Jones
P2 17:02
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
P2 17:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 16:51
SHOT
Power play - Sam Reinhart shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:35
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 16:34
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:32
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P2 16:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 16:20
Mackie Samoskevich credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
P2 16:06
Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 15:36
Brayden Point won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P2 15:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:04
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 14:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P2 14:38
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P2 14:16
Shorthanded - Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 14:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 14:10
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P2 14:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 12:38
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 12:12
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
P2 12:12
Stoppage - Icing
P2 11:57
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Uvis Balinskis in offensive zone
P2 11:48
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 11:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
P2 11:23
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
P2 11:23
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 11:19
Jack Studnicka credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
P2 11:14
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jesper Boqvist in neutral zone
P2 11:14
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 11:03
SHOT
A.J. Greer shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 09:12
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in defensive zone
P2 09:11
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Niko Mikkola in defensive zone
P2 08:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 08:37
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P2 08:37
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 08:34
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Seth Jones
P2 08:05
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 07:06
Brayden Point won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
P2 07:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 06:39
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
P2 06:39
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 06:25
SHOT
Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P2 06:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 06:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 05:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 05:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 04:46
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 04:46
Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:46
Penalty to Brad Marchand 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:46
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 03:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 03:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 03:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 02:45
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P2 02:23
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
P2 02:23
Stoppage
P2 02:19
SHOT
Shot missed by A.J. Greer
P2 01:48
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 01:48
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P2 01:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 00:15
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
P2 00:15
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 00:07
Anton Lundell credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:49
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P1 18:49
Stoppage - Offside
P1 18:48
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P1 18:29
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P1 18:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 18:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 17:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Santini
P1 17:31
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 17:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 16:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 15:56
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P1 15:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 15:23
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 15:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 15:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P1 15:09
Nick Paul credited with hit on Seth Jones in offensive zone
P1 15:01
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 15:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 14:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 13:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 13:49
Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
P1 13:32
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 13:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:29
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 13:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 13:22
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P1 13:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 13:20
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Noah Gregor
P1 12:44
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 12:44
Stoppage - Offside
P1 12:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 11:42
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 11:42
Stoppage - Offside
P1 11:17
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jack Studnicka
P1 11:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 10:45
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Aaron Ekblad in neutral zone
P1 10:08
SHOT
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Seth Jones
P1 09:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:51
SHOT
Power play - Brad Marchand shot blocked by teammate
P1 08:49
Power play - Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 08:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 08:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:40
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 08:40
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Interference
P1 08:19
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P1 08:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 08:11
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P1 08:11
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:04
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P1 07:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 07:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 06:55
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jack Studnicka in neutral zone
P1 06:55
Stoppage - Offside
P1 06:18
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P1 06:18
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 05:35
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P1 05:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 04:47
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P1 04:18
Declan Carlile credited with hit on Jesper Boqvist in defensive zone
P1 04:05
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jack Studnicka in neutral zone
P1 04:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 03:48
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jack Studnicka in neutral zone
P1 03:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
P1 03:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P1 03:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 03:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 02:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P1 02:43
Shorthanded - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 02:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 02:16
Shorthanded - Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P1 02:14
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 02:14
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Sam Reinhart assisted by Aaron Ekblad
1-0
P1 01:41
Shorthanded - Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 01:41
Penalty to Niko Mikkola 2 minutes for Holding
P1 00:57
Steven Santini credited with hit on Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P1 00:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P1 00:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 00:07
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 00:07
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Panthers
 STATS
Lightning
24Shots on Goal28
47%Faceoff Win %53%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
19Penalty Infraction Mins17
25Hits33
17Shots Blocked3
18Giveaways14
PanthersFLA
LightningTB
24Shots on Goal28
47%Faceoff Win %53%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
19Penalty Infraction Mins17
25Hits33
17Shots Blocked3
18Giveaways14

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Panthers vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Lightning
  • Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers +105, Lightning -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 46%
  • Lightning: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 46%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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