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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on December 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
1
Dec 7, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Dec 7, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
OT1 04:56 Mike Matheson shot blocked by William Nylander
OT1 04:44 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 04:06 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Dennis Hildeby
OT1 02:57 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
OT1 02:38 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
OT1 02:24 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 02:17 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
OT1 02:08 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 19:55 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 18:47 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:00 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Jake Evans
P3 16:38 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 16:33 Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 16:26 Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 15:29 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P3 13:57 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 13:09 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 12:36 Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:35 Shot missed by Easton Cowan
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt by John Tavares saved by Jakub Dobes
Shootout Goal scored by Alexandre Texier on Dennis Hildeby
Shootout Goal scored by Auston Matthews on Jakub Dobes
Shootout Goal scored by Cole Caufield on Dennis Hildeby
Shootout attempt by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by William Nylander
John Tavares won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jakub Dobes
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jakub Dobes
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Jake Evans
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
Power play - Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Arber Xhekaj 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Dakota Joshua)
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Scott Laughton assisted by Nicolas Roy
1-1
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Dennis Hildeby
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Giveaway by Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jakub Dobes
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Philippe Myers credited with hit on Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
Takeaway by Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Giveaway by Jayden Struble in offensive zone
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
SHOT
Power play - Easton Cowan shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Josh Anderson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Penalty to Noah Dobson 2 minutes for Tripping
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jakub Dobes
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in defensive zone
Zachary Bolduc won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Dennis Hildeby
Takeaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Mike Matheson in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Dennis Hildeby
Giveaway by Philippe Myers in defensive zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Mike Matheson in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Bobby McMann in neutral zone
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Penalty to Troy Stecher 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Joe Veleno)
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jared Davidson
John Tavares won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Jake Evans
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Joe Veleno
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Dennis Hildeby
Joe Veleno won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Canadiens won faceoff against William Nylander in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Max Domi in neutral zone
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
Philippe Myers credited with hit on Josh Anderson in defensive zone
Takeaway by Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jakub Dobes
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jakub Dobes
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
Takeaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
Joe Veleno credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Power play - Jake Evans won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Power play - Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Scott Laughton
Power play - Giveaway by Jakub Dobes in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Power play - Juraj Slafkovský won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Joe Veleno in neutral zone
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Joe Veleno
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Juraj Slafkovský 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
John Tavares won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Anderson won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Josh Anderson
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jayden Struble credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Mike Matheson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 8 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 8 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +120, Maple Leafs -134
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 43%
- Maple Leafs: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 43%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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