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Flames vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Lightning NHL game on November 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Flames
1
5
Nov 27, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Nov 27, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Flames
0011
Lightning
4015
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
FlamesCGY
Win %
0%
100%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
0011
Lightning
4015
P3 19:53 Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:52 Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 18:24 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:21 MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:15 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:35 Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:29 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:12 Shot missed by Flames
P3 15:30 Shot on goal by Steven Santini saved by Devin Cooley
P3 15:16 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 14:21 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Brandon Hagel and Darren Raddysh
P3 13:28 Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 12:24 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Devin Cooley
P3 12:02 Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
P3 11:12 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:03 Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P3 10:54 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 10:34 Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:14 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:53
SHOT
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 19:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:52
SHOT
Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 18:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:21
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:55
Blake Coleman credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
P3 16:32
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P3 16:32
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 16:16
Ryan Lomberg credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P3 16:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Flames
P3 15:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Santini saved by Devin Cooley
P3 15:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 14:23
Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 14:21
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Brandon Hagel and Darren Raddysh
1-5
P3 14:13
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P3 14:13
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 14:08
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
P3 14:08
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:53
Morgan Frost credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 13:43
Matt Coronato won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 13:43
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 13:35
Giveaway by Steven Santini in defensive zone
P3 13:31
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P3 13:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 13:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 13:26
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 13:26
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Devin Cooley
P3 12:02
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
P3 11:22
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Yegor Sharangovich in defensive zone
P3 11:14
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 11:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P3 10:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 10:53
Morgan Frost credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P3 10:36
Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P3 10:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:50
Blake Coleman credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 09:31
MacKenzie Weegar credited with hit on Declan Carlile in neutral zone
P3 09:14
MacKenzie Weegar credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P3 09:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 09:06
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 09:06
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 09:03
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P3 07:42
Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 07:41
Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
P3 07:32
Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar in offensive zone
P3 07:08
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 07:05
Giveaway by Declan Carlile in defensive zone
P3 06:30
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P3 06:30
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 06:21
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 06:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 06:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 05:11
Nick Paul credited with hit on Joel Hanley in defensive zone
P3 05:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Pachal
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Pachal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Flames saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:27
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 04:27
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 04:24
John Beecher credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P3 04:21
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Adam Klapka in defensive zone
P3 03:26
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 03:26
Stoppage - Offside
P3 03:15
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P3 03:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 02:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:37
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:35
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P3 01:35
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 01:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 01:04
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 01:03
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Joel Farabee
1-4
P3 00:53
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
P3 00:49
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 19:25
Shorthanded - Blake Coleman won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 19:09
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
P2 19:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 18:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 18:19
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P2 18:05
Nick Paul won faceoff against Connor Zary in offensive zone
P2 18:05
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:29
SHOT
Joel Hanley shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:58
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P2 16:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 16:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dominic James
P2 15:56
Power play - Dominic James won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 15:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
P2 15:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 15:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devin Cooley
P2 14:25
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 14:25
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 14:25
Penalty to Blake Coleman 2 minutes for Slashing
P2 13:49
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 12:58
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P2 12:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Lomberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:32
Dominic James won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
P2 12:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Paul
0-4
P2 12:27
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P2 12:17
Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P2 11:56
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 11:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:32
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P2 11:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 11:28
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P2 11:23
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P2 11:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devin Cooley
P2 11:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 10:31
SHOT
Shorthanded - MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 10:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
P2 09:56
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against John Beecher in offensive zone
P2 09:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 09:11
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 09:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 09:02
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 09:02
Penalty to Brayden Pachal 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
P2 08:25
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 08:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:22
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P2 08:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P2 07:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:58
Ryan Lomberg credited with hit on Steven Santini in offensive zone
P2 06:56
Dominic James credited with hit on John Beecher in defensive zone
P2 06:48
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P2 06:32
Adam Klapka credited with hit on Declan Carlile in neutral zone
P2 06:23
SHOT
Ryan Lomberg shot blocked by Steven Santini
P2 06:18
John Beecher won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 06:18
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:10
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 06:10
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:03
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
P2 05:58
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P2 05:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P2 05:38
Matt Coronato credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P2 05:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 05:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P2 04:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor Zary
P2 04:08
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 03:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:44
Power play - Giveaway by Matt Coronato in neutral zone
P2 02:15
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 02:15
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:21
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 01:19
Connor Zary won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 01:19
Stoppage - Video Review
P2 01:19
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 4 minutes for High Sticking
P2 00:49
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 00:30
Dominic James won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:28
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P1 19:28
Stoppage - Offside
P1 19:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 19:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:56
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 18:56
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P1 18:56
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 18:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:46
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Devin Cooley
P1 17:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P1 16:44
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P1 16:44
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Joel Farabee)
P1 16:28
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
P1 15:49
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 15:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Devin Cooley
P1 15:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 15:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 15:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P1 15:10
Nick Paul credited with hit on Blake Coleman in offensive zone
P1 14:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
P1 14:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Zary
P1 14:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Devin Cooley
P1 13:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:59
Power play - Matt Coronato won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 12:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:57
SHOT
Power play - Nazem Kadri shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P1 12:05
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P1 12:05
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Kevin Bahl)
P1 12:01
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P1 11:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:50
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
P1 10:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Douglas
P1 10:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
P1 10:32
Curtis Douglas credited with hit on Joel Hanley in offensive zone
P1 10:01
Dominic James won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
P1 10:01
GOAL
Goal scored by Declan Carlile assisted by Steven Santini and Jake Guentzel
0-4
P1 09:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P1 09:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 08:43
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on MacKenzie Weegar in offensive zone
P1 08:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P1 08:36
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 08:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 08:34
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Blake Coleman
P1 08:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P1 08:04
SHOT
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P1 07:43
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P1 07:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 06:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:52
John Beecher won faceoff against Oliver Bjorkstrand in neutral zone
P1 05:50
GOAL
Goal scored by Zemgus Girgensons
0-3
P1 04:31
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P1 04:31
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:49
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P1 03:01
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by John Beecher
P1 02:02
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Brayden Pachal in offensive zone
P1 02:01
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
P1 01:37
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 01:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 01:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:35
SHOT
Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P1 01:26
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 01:25
GOAL
Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
0-2
P1 00:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 00:39
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P1 00:39
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Anthony Cirelli and Nikita Kucherov
0-1
P1 00:00
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Flames
STATS
Lightning
33Shots on Goal23
45%Faceoff Win %55%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
25Hits13
17Shots Blocked15
16Giveaways15
FlamesCGY
LightningTB
33Shots on Goal23
45%Faceoff Win %55%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
25Hits13
17Shots Blocked15
16Giveaways15

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Flames vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Lightning
  • Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames +145, Lightning -164

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 38%
  • Lightning: 62%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 38%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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