Canucks vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canucks vs. Lightning NHL game on November 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canucks
6
2
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Canucks
0 1 5 6
Lightning
1 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canucks
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canucks
0 1 5 6
Lightning
1 1 0 2
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
P3 18:57 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
P3 18:53 Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
P3 16:57 Goal scored by Canucks
P3 16:54 Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
P3 16:40 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 16:36 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
P3 16:23 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Filip Hronek
P3 15:11 Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Kiefer Sherwood
P3 14:08 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 13:50 Shot missed by Filip Hronek
P3 13:37 Shot missed by Evander Kane
P3 12:16 Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous assisted by Boris Katchouk and Erik Cernak
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Kevin Lankinen
P3 11:47 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 11:44 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
P3 10:05 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Kevin Lankinen
P3 09:54 Max Crozier shot blocked by Max Sasson
P3 09:33 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Kevin Lankinen
P3 09:24 Shot missed by Max Crozier
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
  3. P3 19:30
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:59
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
  5. P3 18:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  6. P3 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
  7. P3 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  8. P3 16:57
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Lukas Reichel in neutral zone
  9. P3 16:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Canucks
    6-2
  10. P3 16:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
  11. P3 16:43
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  12. P3 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  13. P3 16:36
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
  14. P3 16:23
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Filip Hronek
  15. P3 16:15
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Aatu Raty in offensive zone
  16. P3 16:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  17. P3 15:14
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  18. P3 15:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  19. P3 15:11
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Kiefer Sherwood
  20. P3 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  21. P3 13:52
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in neutral zone
  22. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Filip Hronek
  23. P3 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evander Kane
  24. P3 12:43
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Boris Katchouk in defensive zone
  25. P3 12:16
    Canucks challenge (Missed stoppage), call reversed
  26. P3 12:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous assisted by Boris Katchouk and Erik Cernak
    4-3
  27. P3 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Kevin Lankinen
  28. P3 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  29. P3 11:46
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  30. P3 11:44
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
  31. P3 10:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Kevin Lankinen
  32. P3 09:54
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Max Sasson
  33. P3 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Kevin Lankinen
  34. P3 09:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  35. P3 07:40
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  36. P3 07:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 07:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Jonas Johansson
  38. P3 07:27
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  39. P3 07:27
    Stoppage - Offside
  40. P3 06:45
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Lukas Reichel in defensive zone
  41. P3 06:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Jonas Johansson
  43. P3 06:11
    Max Sasson won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  44. P3 06:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 06:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Boeser saved by Jonas Johansson
  46. P3 05:51
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Max Sasson in neutral zone
  47. P3 05:51
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Drew O'Connor assisted by Quinn Hughes
    4-2
  48. P3 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  49. P3 05:27
    SHOT
    Filip Hronek shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  50. P3 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Pettersson
  51. P3 05:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Filip Hronek
  52. P3 04:54
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  53. P3 04:54
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mackenzie MacEachern
    3-2
  54. P3 04:11
    Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Lukas Reichel in neutral zone
  55. P3 04:11
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Kiefer Sherwood assisted by Brock Boeser and Quinn Hughes
    2-2
  56. P3 03:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  57. P3 03:43
    Power play - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  58. P3 03:43
    Penalty to Scott Sabourin 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Kevin Lankinen)
  59. P3 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Curtis Douglas
  60. P3 03:13
    Lukas Reichel won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  61. P3 03:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P3 03:11
    SHOT
    Elias Pettersson shot blocked by teammate
  63. P3 03:01
    Lukas Reichel won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  64. P3 03:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  65. P3 02:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Boeser saved by Jonas Johansson
  66. P3 02:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  67. P3 02:37
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Tom Willander
  68. P3 02:19
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Max Sasson in offensive zone
  69. P3 02:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Kevin Lankinen
  71. P3 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Kevin Lankinen
  72. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  73. P3 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Kevin Lankinen
  74. P3 01:21
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Aatu Raty in defensive zone
  75. P3 01:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P3 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aatu Raty saved by Jonas Johansson
  77. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Evander Kane shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  78. P3 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Pettersson
  79. P3 00:34
    SHOT
    Evander Kane shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  80. P3 00:18
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  81. P3 00:00
    Max Sasson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  82. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  83. P2 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  84. P2 19:16
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  85. P2 19:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  86. P2 18:56
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  87. P2 18:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  88. P2 18:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
  89. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
  90. P2 18:14
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Tyler Myers in defensive zone
  91. P2 17:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Kevin Lankinen
  92. P2 17:10
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Brock Boeser in offensive zone
  93. P2 17:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 17:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Kevin Lankinen
  95. P2 16:44
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  96. P2 16:44
    Penalty to Elias Pettersson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
  97. P2 15:50
    Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in neutral zone
  98. P2 15:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  99. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Filip Hronek
  100. P2 14:13
    Shorthanded - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  101. P2 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  102. P2 12:58
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  103. P2 12:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  104. P2 11:27
    Kiefer Sherwood credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
  105. P2 11:24
    Giveaway by Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  106. P2 10:56
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  107. P2 10:56
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  108. P2 10:11
    Max Sasson won faceoff against Boris Katchouk in defensive zone
  109. P2 10:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P2 09:26
    Max Sasson won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  111. P2 09:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake DeBrusk saved by Jonas Johansson
  112. P2 09:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Elias Pettersson saved by Jonas Johansson
  113. P2 09:06
    Power play - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  114. P2 09:06
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  115. P2 09:06
    Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mackenzie MacEachern)
  116. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
  117. P2 08:18
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Aatu Raty in defensive zone
  118. P2 08:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  119. P2 06:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Canucks
  120. P2 06:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Kiefer Sherwood shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  121. P2 06:05
    Power play - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  122. P2 06:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  123. P2 06:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Quinn Hughes shot blocked by teammate
  124. P2 05:53
    Power play - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  125. P2 05:53
    Penalty to Scott Sabourin 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Linus Karlsson)
  126. P2 05:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Linus Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  127. P2 05:24
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  128. P2 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  129. P2 04:37
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Lightning
    0-2
  130. P2 04:35
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  131. P2 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  132. P2 04:19
    Giveaway by Conor Garland in defensive zone
  133. P2 04:10
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Boris Katchouk in defensive zone
  134. P2 04:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  135. P2 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Kevin Lankinen
  136. P2 02:39
    Mackenzie MacEachern won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  137. P2 02:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  138. P2 02:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake DeBrusk saved by Jonas Johansson
  139. P2 02:14
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  140. P2 02:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  141. P2 02:06
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Aatu Raty in neutral zone
  142. P2 02:06
    Stoppage - High Stick
  143. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by teammate
  144. P2 01:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Jonas Johansson
  145. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Max Sasson in neutral zone
  146. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  147. P1 19:51
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
  148. P1 19:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P1 19:47
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by teammate
  150. P1 19:38
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
  151. P1 19:25
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in neutral zone
  152. P1 19:25
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
    0-1
  153. P1 18:33
    Giveaway by Max Sasson in neutral zone
  154. P1 18:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Kevin Lankinen
  155. P1 15:56
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  156. P1 15:15
    Brock Boeser won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  157. P1 15:15
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  158. P1 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Kevin Lankinen
  159. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  160. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  161. P1 11:19
    Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
  162. P1 11:08
    Aatu Raty won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  163. P1 11:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  164. P1 10:38
    SHOT
    Filip Hronek shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  165. P1 10:34
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  166. P1 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Canucks
  167. P1 10:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  168. P1 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lukas Reichel
  169. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Kevin Lankinen
  170. P1 09:17
    Boris Katchouk won faceoff against Max Sasson in neutral zone
  171. P1 09:17
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  172. P1 08:57
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Filip Hronek
  173. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  174. P1 08:51
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
  175. P1 08:31
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  176. P1 08:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  177. P1 08:12
    SHOT
    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  178. P1 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Boeser saved by Jonas Johansson
  179. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Finley
  180. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  181. P1 06:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Sabourin saved by Kevin Lankinen
  182. P1 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  183. P1 05:47
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
  184. P1 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  185. P1 05:36
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  186. P1 05:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  187. P1 05:30
    Giveaway by Max Crozier in offensive zone
  188. P1 05:26
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  189. P1 05:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  190. P1 05:18
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
  191. P1 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Kevin Lankinen
  192. P1 04:51
    Boris Katchouk won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  193. P1 04:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  194. P1 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Kevin Lankinen
  195. P1 04:05
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
  196. P1 03:39
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Max Sasson in offensive zone
  197. P1 03:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  198. P1 02:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Kevin Lankinen
  199. P1 01:42
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Aatu Raty in offensive zone
  200. P1 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  201. P1 01:07
    Boris Katchouk won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  202. P1 01:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  203. P1 01:04
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
  204. P1 01:01
    Boris Katchouk won faceoff against Conor Garland in offensive zone
  205. P1 01:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  206. P1 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  207. P1 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Sasson
  208. P1 00:00
    Max Sasson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  209. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canucks
STATS
Lightning
18Shots on Goal30
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
33Penalty Infraction Mins33
27Hits18
10 Shots Blocked 8
12Giveaways16
CanucksVAN
LightningTB
18Shots on Goal30
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
33Penalty Infraction Mins33
27Hits18
10 Shots Blocked 8
12Giveaways16

Canucks vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canucks vs. Lightning
  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canucks +130, Lightning -148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canucks: 39%
  • Lightning: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canucks a win probability of 39%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canucks in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canucks vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.