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Lightning vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Golden Knights NHL game on November 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Lightning
6
3
Nov 7, 3AM T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
Nov 7, 3AM T-Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0246
Golden Knights
2013
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
Golden KnightsVGK
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0246
Golden Knights
2013
P3 19:41 Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 19:13 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov
P3 19:05 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:12 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:01 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:48 Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:29 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 16:39 Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 16:38 Power play - Noah Hanifin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:38 Power play - Shea Theodore shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 15:25 Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P3 14:54 Brandon Saad shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 14:34 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:13 Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:51 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 13:26 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:57 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:46 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:35 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:43
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 19:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 19:31
Kaedan Korczak credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
P3 19:13
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 19:13
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov
6-3
P3 19:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:50
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 17:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:31
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 17:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 17:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 16:39
SHOT
Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 16:38
SHOT
Power play - Noah Hanifin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:38
SHOT
Power play - Shea Theodore shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 15:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P3 15:15
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 15:15
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 15:15
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jack Eichel)
P3 14:54
SHOT
Brandon Saad shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 14:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:13
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P3 14:13
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
5-3
P3 13:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 13:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:38
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
P3 12:38
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 12:38
Penalty to Jeremy Lauzon 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dominic James)
P3 12:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 10:35
Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 10:33
Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P3 10:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 10:13
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P3 09:44
Dominic James won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P3 09:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 09:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:38
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 09:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P3 09:32
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:22
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 09:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:49
Power play - William Karlsson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 08:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:28
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 08:28
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 08:07
Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 08:07
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 07:57
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P3 07:57
Stoppage
P3 07:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P3 07:43
SHOT
Power play - Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 07:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:43
SHOT
Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:26
Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P3 05:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:56
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P3 04:56
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 4 minutes for High Sticking
P3 04:40
William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P3 04:40
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:12
William Karlsson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 04:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
4-3
P3 03:37
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 03:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner
3-3
P3 03:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 02:56
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
P3 02:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
3-2
P3 02:48
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 02:44
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 02:43
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:56
Shorthanded - William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 01:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 01:41
Shorthanded - William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 01:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Carl Lindbom
P3 01:01
SHOT
Power play - Lightning shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 00:48
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
P3 00:48
Penalty to Ivan Barbashev 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 00:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 00:02
Dominic James won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Dominic James won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Dominic James won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:12
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P2 19:12
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:57
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P2 18:57
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 18:11
Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
P2 17:52
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P2 16:36
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P2 16:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P2 15:52
SHOT
Shot missed by William Karlsson
P2 15:46
William Karlsson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 15:46
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 15:44
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Brayden Point
P2 15:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Saad
P2 14:19
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P2 13:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 13:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 13:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 13:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 13:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 13:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 12:49
Power play - Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
P2 12:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 12:13
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P2 12:09
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P2 11:37
Shorthanded - William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 11:37
Penalty to Kaedan Korczak 2 minutes for High Sticking
P2 11:34
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
P2 11:08
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P2 10:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 09:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P2 08:36
Giveaway by Jeremy Lauzon in defensive zone
P2 08:33
Kaedan Korczak credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 08:29
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kaedan Korczak in offensive zone
P2 08:25
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P2 08:24
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P2 08:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 08:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P2 07:52
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 07:37
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P2 07:37
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 06:45
Power play - Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
P2 06:37
Lightning won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P2 06:35
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Karlsson in offensive zone
P2 06:35
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Karlsson in offensive zone
P2 06:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 06:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 06:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 05:57
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 05:49
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 05:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:37
Shorthanded - William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 05:37
Penalty to Ivan Barbashev 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 04:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 03:28
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 03:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Dominic James
2-2
P2 03:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 03:14
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
P2 03:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Carl Lindbom
P2 02:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:24
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P2 02:20
William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 02:20
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:03
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P2 01:28
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 00:58
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P2 00:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Dominic James
1-2
P2 00:36
William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 00:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P2 00:00
Dominic James won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 19:15
William Karlsson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 18:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Golden Knights saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:56
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P1 16:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Carl Lindbom
P1 16:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Carl Lindbom
P1 15:53
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
P1 15:53
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Mitch Marner and Jack Eichel
0-2
P1 15:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Carl Lindbom
P1 15:38
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P1 15:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Carl Lindbom
P1 14:31
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P1 14:31
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:24
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P1 13:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 12:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:37
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
P1 11:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 11:09
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P1 10:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 10:37
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Brett Howden
P1 10:00
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against William Karlsson in neutral zone
P1 10:00
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:54
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 09:12
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P1 08:56
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
P1 08:42
SHOT
Cole Reinhardt shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P1 08:28
Dominic James won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
P1 08:28
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
P1 08:24
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P1 07:25
Brandon Saad won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 07:25
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Noah Hanifin and Mitch Marner
0-1
P1 07:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:17
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 07:17
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:52
Dominic James won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
P1 05:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Carl Lindbom
P1 03:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Howden
P1 02:22
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P1 02:22
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 02:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P1 02:10
Takeaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 02:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P1 01:16
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 01:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:03
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P1 00:35
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:31
William Karlsson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 00:31
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:11
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 00:04
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Noah Hanifin in neutral zone
P1 00:00
William Karlsson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
 STATS
Golden Knights
27Shots on Goal32
41%Faceoff Win %59%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
11Hits13
16Shots Blocked17
8Giveaways13
LightningTB
Golden KnightsVGK
27Shots on Goal32
41%Faceoff Win %59%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
11Hits13
16Shots Blocked17
8Giveaways13

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Lightning vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Golden Knights
  • Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +110, Golden Knights -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 47%
  • Golden Knights: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 47%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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