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Capitals vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Penguins NHL game on November 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
5
Nov 7, 12:30AM PPG Paints Arena
Nov 7, 12:30AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penguins | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penguins | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
P3 19:22 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 19:00 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 18:22 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 17:54 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 17:49 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 16:21 Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:35 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:02 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 13:50 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:27 John Carlson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 13:05 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 12:16 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:39 Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:32 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:12 Kris Letang shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 09:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 08:32 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 08:24 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 07:41 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Charlie Lindgren
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Arturs Silovs
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
John Carlson credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Giveaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
Hendrix Lapierre credited with hit on Philip Tomasino in offensive zone
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
Trevor van Riemsdyk credited with hit on Philip Tomasino in defensive zone
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Sonny Milano in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in neutral zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Penalty to Dylan Strome 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Parker Wotherspoon)
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Ben Kindel 2 minutes for Delay of Game
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Interference
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Ryan Graves in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Charlie Lindgren
Capitals won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
Philip Tomasino credited with hit on Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Matt Roy
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Stoppage
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Rasmus Sandin
2-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan Leonard
2-3
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Arturs Silovs
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Graves
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ryan Graves
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Charlie Lindgren
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Strome
1-3
Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Connor Dewar in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Hendrix Lapierre
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by John Carlson
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Arturs Silovs
Capitals won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ben Kindel
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Charlie Lindgren
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Trevor van Riemsdyk 2 minutes for High Sticking
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Kris Letang
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
John Carlson won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in neutral zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Danton Heinen in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Kris Letang
Danton Heinen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
Power play - Giveaway by Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Trevor van Riemsdyk 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Blake Lizotte)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Connor Dewar
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Arturs Silovs
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Connor Dewar in defensive zone
Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Ville Koivunen
Danton Heinen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Erik Karlsson
0-2
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Sonny Milano 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Arturs Silovs
Sonny Milano won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Arturs Silovs
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Takeaway by Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Connor Clifton in defensive zone
Takeaway by Connor Clifton in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Rink Repair
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Sonny Milano
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Charlie Lindgren
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Ben Kindel and Bryan Rust
0-1
Shorthanded - Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Clock Problem
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Connor McMichael 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Anthony Mantha)
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/3 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 10 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/3 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 10 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Capitals vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Penguins
- Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals -110, Penguins -102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 50%
- Penguins: 50%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 50%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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