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Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on April 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Apr 19, 9:45PM Benchmark International Arena
Apr 19, 9:45PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 01:22 Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský assisted by Lane Hutson and Nick Suzuki
OT1 00:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:31 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 19:23 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 19:00 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:53 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:49 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:29 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 16:09 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 16:01 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 13:33 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 10:54 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:56 Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
P3 08:43 Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 06:38 Corey Perry shot blocked by Jake Evans
P3 05:12 Shorthanded - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Cole Caufield
P3 04:54 Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:42 Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 03:57 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 03:48 Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský assisted by Lane Hutson and Nick Suzuki
4-3
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Kaiden Guhle)
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
3-3
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Zachary Bolduc 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by J.J. Moser)
Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Jake Evans
Dominic James won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Lane Hutson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Cole Caufield
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Corey Perry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Paul credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dominic James won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Alex Newhook
J.J. Moser credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh
1-2
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous)
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by teammate
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Alexandre Carrier)
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - TV timeout
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - TV timeout
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Phillip Danault
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Nick Paul
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Lane Hutson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 5/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/2 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 42 | Hits | 44 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 5/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/2 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 42 | Hits | 44 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
- Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Time: 5:45 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +160, Lightning -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 40%
- Lightning: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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