Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Lightning NHL game on April 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Red Wings
3
4
Apr 13, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Apr 13, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TEAM123OTT
Red Wings
1 0 2 0 3
Lightning
1 2 0 1 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Red WingsDET
Win %
0%
100%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Red Wings
1 0 2 0 3
Lightning
1 2 0 1 4
P3 18:13 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 15:45 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 14:25 Declan Carlile shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
P3 12:30 Shot missed by David Perron
P3 11:54 Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:18 Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:04 Patrick Kane shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 08:50 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:16 Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 06:31 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Carter Mazur
P3 04:19 Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 02:52 Justin Faulk shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:57 Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 01:26 Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:08 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:58 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Cam Talbot
P2 16:50 Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:47 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Cam Talbot
P2 15:23 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Cam Talbot
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:00
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:54
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 19:27
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P3 18:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:11
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P3 18:11
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:49
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
P3 15:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 15:16
Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P3 14:25
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
P3 13:57
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
P3 12:50
Brayden Point won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P3 12:44
Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in offensive zone
P3 12:30
SHOT
Shot missed by David Perron
P3 11:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:28
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P3 10:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:18
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:04
SHOT
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 08:50
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 06:31
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Carter Mazur
P3 06:13
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P3 05:22
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 05:22
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 03:28
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:56
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P3 02:52
SHOT
Justin Faulk shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:37
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:57
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 01:47
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P3 01:26
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:09
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 01:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:00
Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:52
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 18:18
Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P2 18:18
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Cam Talbot
P2 16:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:09
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P2 15:53
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 15:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Cam Talbot
P2 15:26
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
P2 15:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Cam Talbot
P2 14:46
Takeaway by Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
P2 14:28
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 14:25
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P2 13:04
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in offensive zone
P2 13:04
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 12:33
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P2 12:19
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 12:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
P2 11:08
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P2 11:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 10:34
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 10:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Cam Talbot
P2 09:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 09:19
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 08:32
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 08:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:26
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P2 07:10
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 07:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:45
SHOT
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 05:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:52
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 04:36
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 04:36
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Tripping
P2 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Cam Talbot
P2 03:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:08
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 01:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:11
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:22
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
P1 18:02
SHOT
J.T. Compher shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 17:47
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P1 17:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:42
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
P1 17:05
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 17:05
GOAL
Goal scored by Conor Geekie assisted by Oliver Bjorkstrand and Scott Sabourin
1-1
P1 16:38
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
P1 16:37
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Conor Geekie in offensive zone
P1 16:22
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
P1 15:30
Brayden Point won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P1 15:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
P1 14:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
P1 14:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:20
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 13:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Cam Talbot
P1 11:44
SHOT
Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Nick Paul
P1 11:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P1 11:04
Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P1 11:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:32
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Michael Brandsegg-Nygård in defensive zone
P1 10:26
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 10:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:23
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 08:22
Power play - Alex DeBrincat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 08:22
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Carter Mazur)
P1 08:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Cam Talbot
P1 07:31
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 07:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Cam Talbot
P1 07:13
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 07:07
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P1 06:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
P1 05:58
Marco Kasper credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
P1 05:31
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
P1 05:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:08
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 03:30
Takeaway by Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
P1 02:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Cam Talbot
P1 02:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:14
Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Marco Kasper in offensive zone
P1 02:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:54
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P1 01:46
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 01:14
Giveaway by Moritz Seider in offensive zone
P1 00:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Red Wings
STATS
Lightning
30Shots on Goal22
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins6
12Hits12
10Shots Blocked15
10Giveaways16
Red WingsDET
LightningTB
30Shots on Goal22
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins6
12Hits12
10Shots Blocked15
10Giveaways16

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Red Wings vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Wings vs. Lightning
  • Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +170, Lightning -167

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Wings: 37%
  • Lightning: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 37%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Wings vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.