Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Capitals NHL game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
0
3
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Capitals
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Capitals
0 1 2 3
P3 19:21 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 18:22 Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P3 17:15 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 16:38 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 15:41 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 15:19 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:40 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:26 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 13:02 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:50 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 10:31 Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 09:13 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 08:00 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:58 Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:06 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 05:18 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 04:25 Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
P3 03:52 Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
P3 03:39 Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:28
    Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:21
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
  4. P3 19:00
    Penguins won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:23
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  7. P3 17:16
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Stuart Skinner
  9. P3 16:38
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  10. P3 16:34
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
  11. P3 16:06
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  12. P3 16:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  13. P3 15:50
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  14. P3 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  15. P3 15:28
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:19
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
  17. P3 14:40
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by teammate
  18. P3 14:26
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  19. P3 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  20. P3 13:03
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  21. P3 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
  22. P3 12:50
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  23. P3 12:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 11:24
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
  25. P3 11:01
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  26. P3 10:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  27. P3 10:31
    SHOT
    Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  28. P3 10:19
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  29. P3 10:14
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  30. P3 09:54
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  31. P3 09:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  32. P3 09:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  33. P3 08:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Stuart Skinner
  34. P3 07:00
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  35. P3 07:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  36. P3 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
  37. P3 06:06
    SHOT
    Connor McMichael shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  38. P3 05:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Stuart Skinner
  39. P3 05:04
    Giveaway by Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  40. P3 04:35
    Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  41. P3 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
  42. P3 04:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  43. P3 04:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  44. P3 03:53
    Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
  45. P3 03:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
  46. P3 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
  47. P3 03:13
    Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
  48. P3 02:14
    Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in neutral zone
  49. P3 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Logan Thompson
  50. P3 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  51. P3 00:47
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
  52. P3 00:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 00:00
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:57
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  56. P2 19:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Logan Thompson
  57. P2 19:03
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  58. P2 18:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
  59. P2 18:15
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  60. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Stuart Skinner
  61. P2 18:12
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  62. P2 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
  63. P2 17:51
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  64. P2 16:56
    Power play - Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
  65. P2 16:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  66. P2 15:40
    Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
  67. P2 15:37
    Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  68. P2 15:37
    Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  69. P2 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Logan Thompson
  70. P2 14:31
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  71. P2 14:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  72. P2 14:24
    Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  73. P2 14:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  74. P2 13:59
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
  75. P2 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
  76. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
  77. P2 12:22
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ilya Protas in neutral zone
  78. P2 12:17
    SHOT
    Connor McMichael shot blocked by teammate
  79. P2 11:53
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  80. P2 11:53
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
  81. P2 11:43
    Takeaway by Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
  82. P2 11:38
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  83. P2 11:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  84. P2 10:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
  85. P2 10:07
    Penguins won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  86. P2 10:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  87. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  88. P2 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  89. P2 08:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
  90. P2 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Logan Thompson
  91. P2 07:16
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
  92. P2 07:10
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Ilya Protas in defensive zone
  93. P2 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Protas
  94. P2 06:50
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Ilya Protas in defensive zone
  95. P2 06:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 06:16
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  97. P2 06:06
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  98. P2 06:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  99. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Logan Thompson
  100. P2 05:39
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  101. P2 05:39
    Stoppage - Offside
  102. P2 04:34
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  103. P2 04:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  104. P2 03:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
  105. P2 03:51
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  106. P2 03:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  107. P2 03:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Stuart Skinner
  108. P2 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  109. P2 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Logan Thompson
  110. P2 00:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
  111. P2 00:30
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  112. P2 00:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Stuart Skinner
  113. P2 00:00
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
  114. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  115. P1 19:37
    SHOT
    Ilya Protas shot blocked by teammate
  116. P1 19:17
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Justin Sourdif
    0-1
  117. P1 19:15
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
  118. P1 18:51
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  119. P1 18:03
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  120. P1 18:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  121. P1 18:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Stuart Skinner
  122. P1 17:35
    Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  123. P1 17:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Logan Thompson
  124. P1 17:19
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
  125. P1 16:44
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  126. P1 16:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  128. P1 15:40
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  129. P1 15:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P1 15:23
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  131. P1 15:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Stuart Skinner
  132. P1 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
  133. P1 14:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  134. P1 13:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Hutson
  135. P1 12:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  136. P1 12:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
  137. P1 12:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
  138. P1 11:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Logan Thompson
  139. P1 11:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
  140. P1 10:48
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  141. P1 10:48
    Penalty to Martin Fehervary 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
  142. P1 10:48
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  143. P1 10:11
    SHOT
    Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  144. P1 09:29
    SHOT
    Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  145. P1 09:26
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  146. P1 09:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Stuart Skinner
  147. P1 08:32
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Kris Letang
  148. P1 08:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  149. P1 08:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Stuart Skinner
  150. P1 07:25
    Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
  151. P1 07:21
    SHOT
    Ilya Protas shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
  152. P1 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  153. P1 06:26
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  154. P1 05:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  155. P1 04:15
    Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  156. P1 04:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  157. P1 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Logan Thompson
  158. P1 03:10
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  159. P1 03:08
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Egor Chinakhov
  160. P1 03:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  161. P1 02:56
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  162. P1 02:34
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  163. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
  164. P1 01:26
    Takeaway by Ville Koivunen in neutral zone
  165. P1 01:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  166. P1 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Logan Thompson
  167. P1 01:12
    Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  168. P1 00:30
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  169. P1 00:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
  170. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Capitals
24Shots on Goal26
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
10Hits18
14 Shots Blocked 15
15Giveaways19
PenguinsPIT
CapitalsWSH
24Shots on Goal26
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
10Hits18
14 Shots Blocked 15
15Giveaways19

Penguins vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Capitals
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins 41¢, Capitals 58¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 45%
  • Capitals: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 45%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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