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Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Capitals NHL game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
0
3
Apr 12, 7PM Capital One Arena
Apr 12, 7PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Capitals | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Capitals | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
P3 19:21 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 18:22 Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P3 17:15 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 16:38 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 15:41 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 15:19 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:40 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:26 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 13:02 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:50 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 10:31 Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 09:13 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 08:00 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:58 Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:06 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 05:18 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 04:25 Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
P3 03:52 Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
P3 03:39 Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Penguins won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Stuart Skinner
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Stuart Skinner
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Power play - Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Logan Thompson
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
SHOT
Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ilya Protas in neutral zone
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by teammate
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
Takeaway by Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
Penguins won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Ilya Protas in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Protas
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Ilya Protas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Logan Thompson
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Ilya Protas shot blocked by teammate
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Justin Sourdif
0-1
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Stuart Skinner
Penguins won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Hutson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Power play - Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Penalty to Martin Fehervary 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in defensive zone
SHOT
Ilya Protas shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Logan Thompson
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Egor Chinakhov
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
Takeaway by Ville Koivunen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Logan Thompson
Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 10 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 19 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 10 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 19 |
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Penguins vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Capitals
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +141, Capitals -140
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 45%
- Capitals: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 45%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
