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Capitals vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Penguins NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
3
Apr 11, 7PM PPG Paints Arena
Apr 11, 7PM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penguins | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penguins | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
P3 19:03 Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 16:00 Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 15:35 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:43 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 12:52 Shot missed by Capitals
P3 12:07 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:55 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:13 Shot missed by Cole Hutson
P3 09:42 Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:40 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:31 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 05:56 Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 05:54 Power play - Shot missed by Cole Hutson
P3 04:50 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:23 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 03:44 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Elmer Soderblom
P3 00:54 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 00:51 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 19:48 Shot on goal by Ivan Miroshnichenko saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
SHOT
Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Hutson
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Rutger McGroarty won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Giveaway by Matt Roy in neutral zone
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Hutson
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Capitals won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
Cole Hutson credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Elmer Soderblom
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Miroshnichenko saved by Arturs Silovs
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kevin Hayes
4-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Ryan Graves
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan Leonard assisted by Cole Hutson and Justin Sourdif
4-2
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Noel Acciari assisted by Elmer Soderblom and Samuel Girard
3-2
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Trevor van Riemsdyk credited with hit on Avery Hayes in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
Takeaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Graves
Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Arturs Silovs
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Egor Chinakhov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Arturs Silovs
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
SHOT
Cole Hutson shot blocked by Ryan Graves
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
Giveaway by Ville Koivunen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Ivan Miroshnichenko shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Matt Roy
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Arturs Silovs
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Arturs Silovs
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Ilya Solovyov credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
Giveaway by Elmer Soderblom in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Miroshnichenko saved by Arturs Silovs
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Samuel Girard
Giveaway by Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 12 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 43% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 0/0 | |||
| 0 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 12 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 43% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 0/0 | |||
| 0 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
Game Prediction Article
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Capitals vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Penguins
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals -150, Penguins +135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 53%
- Penguins: 47%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 53%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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