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Islanders vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Sabres NHL game on March 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Mar 31, 11PM KeyBank Center
Mar 31, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Islanders | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Sabres | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Islanders | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Sabres | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:50 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:20 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:13 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:48 Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:19 Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 17:30 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 17:23 Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:10 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P3 14:51 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:53 Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 13:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:08 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:46 Power play - Shot missed by Adam Boqvist
P3 10:06 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 09:24 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:21 Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 06:47 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 06:10 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 06:00 Shot missed by Josh Doan
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Ilya Sorokin
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Carson Soucy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Adam Boqvist
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Penalty to Josh Norris 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Logan Stanley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Zach Metsa shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Metsa saved by Ilya Sorokin
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Penalty to Sam Carrick 5 minutes for Fighting
Penalty to Anders Lee 2 minutes for Misconduct
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Ilya Sorokin
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Calum Ritchie shot blocked by Owen Power
Penalty to Mattias Samuelsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Bowen Byram
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Giveaway by Josh Doan in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Josh Norris won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Jason Zucker shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
Power play - Sam Carrick credited with hit on Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan Stanley
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Giveaway by Owen Power in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Alex Tuch credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Rink Repair
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Owen Power
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Doan credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Ilya Sorokin
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Alex Tuch credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Carrick
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Penalty to Adam Pelech 2 minutes for Misconduct
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Ilya Sorokin
Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Sam Carrick credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Ilya Sorokin
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Zach Benson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
Anders Lee credited with hit on Logan Stanley in offensive zone
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Power play - Brayden Schenn credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Josh Norris credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Bowen Byram in neutral zone
Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/2 | |||
| 15 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 13 | |||
| 26 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 19 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/2 | |||
| 15 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 13 | |||
| 26 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 19 |
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Islanders vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Islanders vs. Sabres
- Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Islanders +160, Sabres -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Islanders: 40%
- Sabres: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 40%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Islanders vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
