Stars vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Penguins NHL game on March 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Stars
6
3
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Stars
0 4 2 6
Penguins
1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Penguins
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
0 4 2 6
Penguins
1 1 1 3
P3 19:26 Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Tyler Myers
P3 18:48 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 17:59 Shot missed by Stars
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:00 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:36 Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:25 Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 12:00 Power play - Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:35 Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 08:42 Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 08:27 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
P3 08:20 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 06:53 Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 06:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 04:27 Shot missed by Matt Duchene
P3 03:58 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 03:03 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 02:04 Connor Clifton shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:26
    SHOT
    Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  4. P3 19:00
    Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:50
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  6. P3 18:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  7. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stars
  8. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Stuart Skinner
  9. P3 15:46
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  10. P3 15:44
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  11. P3 15:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  12. P3 15:00
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  13. P3 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Stuart Skinner
  14. P3 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  15. P3 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Stuart Skinner
  16. P3 12:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
  17. P3 12:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
  18. P3 11:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  19. P3 10:53
    Power play - Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  20. P3 09:47
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  21. P3 08:54
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  22. P3 08:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  23. P3 08:37
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jamie Benn in offensive zone
  24. P3 08:27
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
  25. P3 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  26. P3 06:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  27. P3 06:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
  28. P3 06:20
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  29. P3 06:20
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  30. P3 04:33
    Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  31. P3 04:31
    Giveaway by Samuel Girard in defensive zone
  32. P3 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Duchene
  33. P3 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  34. P3 03:03
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  35. P3 02:04
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  36. P3 01:47
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Connor Dewar in defensive zone
  37. P3 01:27
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  38. P3 01:27
    Stoppage
  39. P3 01:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  40. P3 00:36
    Giveaway by Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  41. P3 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  42. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  43. P2 19:46
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
  44. P2 19:46
    Stoppage
  45. P2 18:40
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  46. P2 17:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  47. P2 17:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  48. P2 16:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  49. P2 16:17
    Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  50. P2 15:52
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  51. P2 15:52
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  52. P2 15:08
    SHOT
    Stars shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  53. P2 13:58
    Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  54. P2 13:38
    Stoppage - Offside
  55. P2 13:11
    Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  56. P2 13:08
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  57. P2 12:48
    SHOT
    Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
  58. P2 12:47
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  59. P2 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  60. P2 12:33
    Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  61. P2 12:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  62. P2 11:45
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  63. P2 11:38
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Lian Bichsel assisted by Mavrik Bourque and Oskar Back
    4-2
  64. P2 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
  65. P2 10:12
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  66. P2 09:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Stuart Skinner
  67. P2 09:45
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  68. P2 09:42
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  69. P2 08:55
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  70. P2 08:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  71. P2 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Stuart Skinner
  72. P2 08:04
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Justin Brazeau in defensive zone
  73. P2 08:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  74. P2 07:56
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Nathan Bastian
  75. P2 07:12
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  76. P2 07:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matt Duchene
  77. P2 05:55
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  78. P2 05:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  79. P2 05:45
    Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  80. P2 05:45
    Penalty to Parker Wotherspoon 2 minutes for Tripping
  81. P2 05:07
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by teammate
  82. P2 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Jake Oettinger
  83. P2 04:15
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  84. P2 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  85. P2 03:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Stuart Skinner
  87. P2 02:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  88. P2 02:29
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  89. P2 02:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Stuart Skinner
  90. P2 02:16
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  91. P2 02:10
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Hryckowian assisted by Colin Blackwell and Jamie Benn
    1-1
  92. P2 02:08
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  93. P2 01:17
    SHOT
    Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
  94. P2 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  95. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  96. P1 19:49
    Giveaway by Justin Brazeau in offensive zone
  97. P1 19:35
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  98. P1 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
  99. P1 19:00
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  100. P1 18:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  101. P1 18:49
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  102. P1 18:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  103. P1 17:55
    Power play - Giveaway by Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:38
    Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  105. P1 16:01
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  106. P1 16:01
    Stoppage
  107. P1 15:38
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  108. P1 15:10
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  109. P1 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  110. P1 14:56
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  111. P1 14:00
    Power play - Giveaway by Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  112. P1 13:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  113. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  114. P1 12:35
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  115. P1 12:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  116. P1 12:16
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  117. P1 12:16
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  118. P1 12:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  119. P1 11:59
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  120. P1 11:01
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  121. P1 10:53
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  122. P1 10:53
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  123. P1 09:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  124. P1 09:14
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  125. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Oskar Back
  126. P1 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
  127. P1 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jake Oettinger
  128. P1 05:41
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  129. P1 05:41
    Stoppage
  130. P1 05:25
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  131. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  132. P1 03:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  133. P1 03:41
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by teammate
  134. P1 03:05
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  135. P1 03:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  136. P1 02:21
    Giveaway by Thomas Harley in defensive zone
  137. P1 02:12
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in neutral zone
  138. P1 01:54
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  139. P1 01:54
    Penalty to Colin Blackwell 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kris Letang)
  140. P1 01:10
    Rutger McGroarty credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  141. P1 00:46
    Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  142. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Penguins
26Shots on Goal12
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
12Hits19
24 Shots Blocked 13
12Giveaways17
StarsDAL
PenguinsPIT
26Shots on Goal12
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
12Hits19
24 Shots Blocked 13
12Giveaways17

Stars vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Penguins
  • Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars 56¢, Penguins 45¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 54%
  • Penguins: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 54%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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