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Stars vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Penguins NHL game on March 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
LIVE
1st 00:00
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 00:00
Updating LIVE
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Mar 28, 9PM PPG Paints Arena
Mar 28, 9PM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 0 | ||
Penguins | 1 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
34%
66%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 0 | ||
Penguins | 1 | 1 |
P1 19:35 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P1 19:15 Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 18:50 Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P1 18:11 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P1 14:57 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P1 14:56 Kris Letang shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P1 13:15 Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P1 13:02 Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P1 12:14 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P1 11:59 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 09:28 Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P1 09:14 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P1 08:09 Samuel Girard shot blocked by Oskar Back
P1 07:08 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 06:15 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 05:25 Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P1 03:42 Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 03:41 Anthony Mantha shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st Period.
Giveaway by Justin Brazeau in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
Power play - Giveaway by Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Stoppage
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Power play - Giveaway by Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Noel Acciari
SHOT
Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Oskar Back
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jake Oettinger
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
Stoppage
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by teammate
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in defensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
Penalty to Colin Blackwell 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kris Letang)
Rutger McGroarty credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 9 | Shots on Goal | 4 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/1 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 7 | Hits | 8 | |||
| 3 | Shots Blocked | 3 | |||
| 6 | Giveaways | 7 |
| |
|---|
| 9 | Shots on Goal | 4 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/1 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 7 | Hits | 8 | |||
| 3 | Shots Blocked | 3 | |||
| 6 | Giveaways | 7 |
Game Prediction Article
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Stars vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Stars vs. Penguins
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Stars -126, Penguins +122
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Stars: 54%
- Penguins: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 54%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Stars vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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