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Stars vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Penguins NHL game on March 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
3
Mar 28, 9PM PPG Paints Arena
Mar 28, 9PM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
P3 19:26 Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Tyler Myers
P3 18:48 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 17:59 Shot missed by Stars
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:00 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:36 Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:25 Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 12:00 Power play - Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:35 Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 08:42 Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 08:27 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
P3 08:20 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 06:53 Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 06:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 04:27 Shot missed by Matt Duchene
P3 03:58 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 03:03 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 02:04 Connor Clifton shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Tyler Myers
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
SHOT
Shot missed by Stars
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
SHOT
Power play - Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
Power play - Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jamie Benn in offensive zone
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Giveaway by Samuel Girard in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Duchene
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Connor Dewar in defensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
Stoppage
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
Stoppage
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Stars shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jamie Benn won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Lian Bichsel assisted by Mavrik Bourque and Oskar Back
4-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Stuart Skinner
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Justin Brazeau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Nathan Bastian
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Duchene
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Penalty to Parker Wotherspoon 2 minutes for Tripping
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Stuart Skinner
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Hryckowian assisted by Colin Blackwell and Jamie Benn
1-1
SHOT
Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Giveaway by Justin Brazeau in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
Power play - Giveaway by Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
Stars won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Stoppage
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Power play - Giveaway by Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Noel Acciari
SHOT
Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Oskar Back
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jake Oettinger
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
Stoppage
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Esa Lindell
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by teammate
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in defensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
Penalty to Colin Blackwell 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kris Letang)
Rutger McGroarty credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 12 | |||
| 59% | Faceoff Win % | 41% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 12 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 12 | |||
| 59% | Faceoff Win % | 41% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 12 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Stars vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Stars vs. Penguins
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Stars -125, Penguins +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Stars: 54%
- Penguins: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 54%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Stars vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
