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Senators vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Capitals NHL game on March 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
4
Mar 18, 11:30PM Capital One Arena
Mar 18, 11:30PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Capitals | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Capitals | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
P3 19:34 Power play - Goal scored by Cole Hutson
P3 18:28 Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Connor McMichael (Empty Net)
P3 18:21 Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:31 Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 14:20 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:30 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:15 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 12:58 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:44 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 08:30 Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 07:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:17 Power play - Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:54 Power play - Jordan Spence shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 06:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:21 Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 05:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:35 Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 05:32 Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 04:48 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Tom Wilson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Cole Hutson
1-4
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Penalty to Tyler Kleven 2 minutes for Misconduct
GOAL
Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Connor McMichael (Empty Net)
1-3
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Takeaway by Shane Pinto in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
Power play - Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Matt Roy
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Logan Thompson
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Jordan Spence shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
SHOT
Shane Pinto shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
Stoppage - Icing
End of 2nd Period.
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dennis Gilbert
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Linus Ullmark
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Linus Ullmark
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shane Pinto shot blocked by Matt Roy
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Logan Thompson
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin assisted by Rasmus Sandin
0-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Cole Hutson shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
Power play - Giveaway by Ethen Frank in neutral zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dennis Gilbert saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Linus Ullmark
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Linus Ullmark
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Warren Foegele
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Logan Thompson
Lars Eller won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Giveaway by Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Logan Thompson
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Connor McMichael
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Tom Wilson
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Logan Thompson
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Cole Hutson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Linus Ullmark
Matt Roy credited with hit on Michael Amadio in offensive zone
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Jordan Spence in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 35 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 67% | Faceoff Win % | 33% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 35 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 67% | Faceoff Win % | 33% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Senators vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Capitals
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Senators -125, Capitals +120
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 54%
- Capitals: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 54%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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