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Hurricanes vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hurricanes vs. Lightning NHL game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Hurricanes
4
2
Mar 14, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Mar 14, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Hurricanes
2 0 2 4
Lightning
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
HurricanesCAR
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Hurricanes
2 0 2 4
Lightning
0 2 0 2
P3 18:35 Shot missed by Jordan Staal
P3 18:29 Goal scored by Logan Stankoven (Empty Net)
P3 17:23 Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:08 Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 17:01 Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
P3 15:48 Corey Perry shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:02 Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 13:42 Shot missed by Taylor Hall
P3 13:03 Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 11:16 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P3 10:07 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
P3 08:15 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Sean Walker
P3 07:25 Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 06:35 Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 06:18 Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:09 Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 03:16 Corey Perry shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 01:15 Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:12 Jordan Staal shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 19:31 Shot missed by Jackson Blake
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:44
Stoppage
P3 18:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Staal
P3 18:29
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P3 18:29
GOAL
Goal scored by Logan Stankoven (Empty Net)
4-2
P3 17:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:21
Takeaway by Andrei Svechnikov in offensive zone
P3 17:08
SHOT
Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 17:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
P3 15:48
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:02
SHOT
Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 13:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Hall
P3 13:03
SHOT
Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 11:52
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
P3 11:48
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
P3 11:38
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 11:16
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P3 10:07
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
P3 09:18
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
P3 08:48
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
P3 08:43
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
P3 08:43
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 08:15
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Sean Walker
P3 08:11
Giveaway by Sean Walker in defensive zone
P3 07:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 06:46
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 06:35
SHOT
Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 06:20
Jordan Martinook won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 06:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:52
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
P3 05:19
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 05:19
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:32
Giveaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
P3 04:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 03:40
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
P3 03:16
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 01:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:12
SHOT
Jordan Staal shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 00:35
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
P3 00:35
Stoppage - Icing
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:38
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
P2 19:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Jackson Blake
P2 18:15
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 17:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P2 17:22
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
P2 16:49
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 16:49
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 16:31
SHOT
Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 15:31
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
P2 15:31
GOAL
Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous assisted by Brayden Point
2-2
P2 14:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 14:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Frederik Andersen
P2 14:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Frederik Andersen
P2 14:02
SHOT
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P2 13:17
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 13:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:56
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 12:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Frederik Andersen
P2 11:41
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P2 10:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 09:24
SHOT
Mike Reilly shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 09:20
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Hooking
P2 09:20
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
P2 08:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jalen Chatfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
P2 06:14
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 06:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 05:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Walker
P2 05:24
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
P2 04:36
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P2 04:32
Penalty to Sebastian Aho 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:32
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 03:45
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P2 03:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Frederik Andersen
P2 01:51
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
P2 01:51
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 01:18
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
P2 00:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 00:00
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Frederik Andersen
P1 18:08
Stoppage - Offside
P1 17:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Sebastian Aho assisted by Andrei Svechnikov and K'Andre Miller
2-0
P1 17:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Sebastian Aho
P1 17:08
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 17:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Frederik Andersen
P1 15:13
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P1 14:48
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 14:48
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P1 14:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Frederik Andersen
P1 14:29
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 14:29
Penalty to Seth Jarvis 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
P1 12:46
Power play - Takeaway by K'Andre Miller in neutral zone
P1 12:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:25
Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 11:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 10:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
P1 10:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:40
Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 08:57
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mike Reilly
P1 08:34
Power play - Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 08:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Frederik Andersen
P1 06:48
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jordan Staal in neutral zone
P1 06:27
Shorthanded - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 06:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P1 05:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Hall
P1 05:04
SHOT
Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Brayden Point
P1 04:54
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
P1 04:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:01
SHOT
Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Nick Paul
P1 03:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 03:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Frederik Andersen
P1 02:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:56
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by K'Andre Miller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:44
Giveaway by Jordan Martinook in defensive zone
P1 00:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Andrei Svechnikov assisted by Sebastian Aho and Sean Walker
1-0
P1 00:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Hurricanes
STATS
Lightning
35Shots on Goal19
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins11
27Hits26
10Shots Blocked14
13Giveaways14
HurricanesCAR
LightningTB
35Shots on Goal19
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins11
27Hits26
10Shots Blocked14
13Giveaways14

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Hurricanes vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Hurricanes vs. Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Hurricanes +110, Lightning -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Hurricanes: 46%
  • Lightning: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hurricanes a win probability of 46%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Hurricanes in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Hurricanes vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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