Hurricanes vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hurricanes vs. Lightning NHL game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Hurricanes
4
2
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Hurricanes
2 0 2 4
Lightning
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Hurricanes
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Hurricanes
2 0 2 4
Lightning
0 2 0 2
P3 18:35 Shot missed by Jordan Staal
P3 18:29 Goal scored by Logan Stankoven (Empty Net)
P3 17:23 Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:08 Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 17:01 Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
P3 15:48 Corey Perry shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:02 Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 13:42 Shot missed by Taylor Hall
P3 13:03 Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 11:16 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P3 10:07 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
P3 08:15 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Sean Walker
P3 07:25 Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 06:35 Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 06:18 Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:09 Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 03:16 Corey Perry shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 01:15 Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:12 Jordan Staal shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 19:31 Shot missed by Jackson Blake
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:44
    Stoppage
  3. P3 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Staal
  4. P3 18:29
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:29
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Logan Stankoven (Empty Net)
    4-2
  6. P3 17:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  7. P3 17:21
    Takeaway by Andrei Svechnikov in offensive zone
  8. P3 17:08
    SHOT
    Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  9. P3 17:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
  10. P3 15:48
    SHOT
    Corey Perry shot blocked by teammate
  11. P3 15:02
    SHOT
    Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  12. P3 13:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Taylor Hall
  13. P3 13:03
    SHOT
    Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  14. P3 11:52
    Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
  15. P3 11:48
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  16. P3 11:38
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  17. P3 11:16
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
  18. P3 10:07
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
  19. P3 09:18
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  20. P3 08:48
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  21. P3 08:43
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  22. P3 08:43
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  23. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Sean Walker
  24. P3 08:11
    Giveaway by Sean Walker in defensive zone
  25. P3 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
  26. P3 06:46
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  27. P3 06:35
    SHOT
    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  28. P3 06:20
    Jordan Martinook won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  29. P3 06:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  30. P3 05:52
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
  31. P3 05:19
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  32. P3 05:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 04:32
    Giveaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
  34. P3 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
  35. P3 03:40
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  36. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Corey Perry shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
  37. P3 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  38. P3 01:12
    SHOT
    Jordan Staal shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  39. P3 00:35
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  40. P3 00:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  42. P2 19:38
    Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
  43. P2 19:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  44. P2 18:15
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  45. P2 17:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  46. P2 17:22
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  47. P2 16:49
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  48. P2 16:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  49. P2 16:31
    SHOT
    Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  50. P2 15:31
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  51. P2 15:31
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous assisted by Brayden Point
    2-2
  52. P2 14:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  53. P2 14:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Frederik Andersen
  54. P2 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Frederik Andersen
  55. P2 14:02
    SHOT
    Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
  56. P2 13:17
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  57. P2 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 12:56
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  59. P2 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Frederik Andersen
  61. P2 11:41
    Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  62. P2 10:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  63. P2 09:24
    SHOT
    Mike Reilly shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  64. P2 09:20
    Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Hooking
  65. P2 09:20
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
  66. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  67. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  68. P2 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jalen Chatfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  69. P2 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
  70. P2 06:14
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  71. P2 06:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  72. P2 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sean Walker
  73. P2 05:24
    Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
  74. P2 04:36
    Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  75. P2 04:32
    Penalty to Sebastian Aho 2 minutes for Misconduct
  76. P2 04:32
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  77. P2 03:45
    Giveaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
  78. P2 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Frederik Andersen
  79. P2 01:51
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  80. P2 01:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  81. P2 01:18
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
  82. P2 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  83. P2 00:00
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  84. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  85. P1 18:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Frederik Andersen
  86. P1 18:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  87. P1 17:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sebastian Aho assisted by Andrei Svechnikov and K'Andre Miller
    2-0
  88. P1 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sebastian Aho
  89. P1 17:08
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  90. P1 17:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  91. P1 17:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  92. P1 16:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Frederik Andersen
  93. P1 15:13
    Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
  94. P1 14:48
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  95. P1 14:48
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  96. P1 14:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Frederik Andersen
  97. P1 14:29
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  98. P1 14:29
    Penalty to Seth Jarvis 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
  99. P1 12:46
    Power play - Takeaway by K'Andre Miller in neutral zone
  100. P1 12:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  101. P1 11:25
    Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  102. P1 11:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  103. P1 10:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
  104. P1 10:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  105. P1 10:40
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  106. P1 08:57
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mike Reilly
  107. P1 08:34
    Power play - Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  108. P1 08:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Frederik Andersen
  109. P1 06:48
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  110. P1 06:27
    Shorthanded - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  111. P1 06:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  112. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Taylor Hall
  113. P1 05:04
    SHOT
    Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Brayden Point
  114. P1 04:54
    Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
  115. P1 04:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  116. P1 04:01
    SHOT
    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Nick Paul
  117. P1 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  118. P1 03:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Frederik Andersen
  119. P1 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  120. P1 01:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  121. P1 01:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by K'Andre Miller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  122. P1 01:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  123. P1 00:44
    Giveaway by Jordan Martinook in defensive zone
  124. P1 00:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Andrei Svechnikov assisted by Sebastian Aho and Sean Walker
    1-0
  125. P1 00:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  126. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Hurricanes
STATS
Lightning
35Shots on Goal19
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins11
27Hits26
10 Shots Blocked 14
13Giveaways14
HurricanesCAR
LightningTB
35Shots on Goal19
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins11
27Hits26
10 Shots Blocked 14
13Giveaways14

Hurricanes vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Hurricanes vs. Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Hurricanes +110, Lightning -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Hurricanes: 46%
  • Lightning: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hurricanes a win probability of 46%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Hurricanes in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Hurricanes vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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