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Golden Knights vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Red Wings NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Mar 5, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Mar 5, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden Knights | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Red Wings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden Knights | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Red Wings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 02:11 Power play - Goal scored by Tomas Hertl assisted by Mitch Marner and Rasmus Andersson
OT1 01:49 Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
OT1 01:08 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
OT1 00:40 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 19:19 Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P3 19:12 Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 18:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:36 Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Tomas Hertl and Shea Theodore
P3 16:32 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 12:35 Colton Sissons shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P3 12:14 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Cam Talbot
P3 11:35 Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin
P3 10:28 Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:03 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Cam Talbot
P3 08:55 Patrick Kane shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
P3 08:53 Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:00 Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 05:22 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tomas Hertl assisted by Mitch Marner and Rasmus Andersson
4-3
Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Adin Hill
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Adin Hill
Takeaway by Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Tomas Hertl and Shea Theodore
3-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
Takeaway by Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
SHOT
Colton Sissons shot blocked by J.T. Compher
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Cam Talbot
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin
2-3
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Adin Hill
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
SHOT
Shot missed by Colton Sissons
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
James van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
Colton Sissons won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Albert Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Golden Knights saved by Cam Talbot
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by J.T. Compher
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Ivan Barbashev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Adin Hill
Giveaway by Dominik Shine in defensive zone
SHOT
Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Cam Talbot
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Cam Talbot
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Patrick Kane
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Reinhardt saved by Cam Talbot
SHOT
Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Jack Eichel shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
Dominik Shine credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Adin Hill
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Stoppage
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Smith
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden McNabb
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Braeden Bowman shot blocked by J.T. Compher
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Adin Hill
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Adin Hill
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
Takeaway by Kaedan Korczak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Giveaway by Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Albert Johansson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Adin Hill
Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brandon Saad in defensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Reilly Smith assisted by Mitch Marner and Pavel Dorofeyev
1-0
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 45% | Faceoff Win % | 55% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 45% | Faceoff Win % | 55% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 13 |
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Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +118, Red Wings -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Golden Knights: 47%
- Red Wings: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 47%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Golden Knights vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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