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Golden Knights vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Red Wings NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Golden Knights
4
3
Mar 5, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Mar 5, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Golden Knights
1 0 2 1 4
Red Wings
3 0 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Golden KnightsVGK
Win %
100%
0%
Red WingsDET
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Golden Knights
1 0 2 1 4
Red Wings
3 0 0 0 3
OT1 02:11 Power play - Goal scored by Tomas Hertl assisted by Mitch Marner and Rasmus Andersson
OT1 01:49 Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
OT1 01:08 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
OT1 00:40 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 19:19 Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P3 19:12 Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 18:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:36 Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Tomas Hertl and Shea Theodore
P3 16:32 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 12:35 Colton Sissons shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P3 12:14 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Cam Talbot
P3 11:35 Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin
P3 10:28 Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:03 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Cam Talbot
P3 08:55 Patrick Kane shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
P3 08:53 Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:00 Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 05:22 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:11
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
OT1 02:11
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tomas Hertl assisted by Mitch Marner and Rasmus Andersson
4-3
OT1 01:52
Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
OT1 01:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
OT1 01:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
OT1 00:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
OT1 00:00
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P3 19:41
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P3 19:19
SHOT
Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P3 19:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 18:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:17
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 18:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Adin Hill
P3 17:08
Takeaway by Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P3 17:06
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
P3 16:36
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P3 16:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Tomas Hertl and Shea Theodore
3-3
P3 16:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 13:24
Takeaway by Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P3 13:19
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P3 12:35
SHOT
Colton Sissons shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P3 12:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Cam Talbot
P3 11:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin
2-3
P3 11:23
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P3 10:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Cam Talbot
P3 08:55
SHOT
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
P3 08:53
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:59
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 07:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 07:42
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:00
SHOT
Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 05:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
P3 04:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
P3 04:02
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P3 03:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Colton Sissons
P3 01:24
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P3 01:24
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:53
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 00:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:10
SHOT
James van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:00
Colton Sissons won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:46
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
P2 18:46
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:36
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P2 17:56
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P2 17:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Cam Talbot
P2 17:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
P2 17:25
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P2 17:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Albert Johansson
P2 15:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P2 15:02
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Golden Knights saved by Cam Talbot
P2 14:50
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 14:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P2 14:31
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 14:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P2 13:35
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P2 13:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 12:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
P2 12:22
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P2 10:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P2 09:18
SHOT
Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P2 09:14
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
P2 08:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P2 07:48
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
P2 07:32
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Ivan Barbashev in offensive zone
P2 07:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Adin Hill
P2 06:43
Giveaway by Dominik Shine in defensive zone
P2 06:40
SHOT
Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P2 06:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P2 05:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
P2 04:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Cam Talbot
P2 04:28
SHOT
Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P2 03:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Cam Talbot
P2 03:47
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
P2 03:47
Stoppage - Offside
P2 02:57
Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P2 02:51
Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P2 02:41
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P2 02:11
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P2 02:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P2 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Cam Talbot
P2 00:00
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:47
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P1 17:48
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P1 17:48
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:46
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Patrick Kane
P1 17:26
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P1 17:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Cam Talbot
P1 16:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P1 16:51
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P1 16:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 16:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Reinhardt saved by Cam Talbot
P1 16:22
SHOT
Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P1 16:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P1 15:03
SHOT
Jack Eichel shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P1 13:59
Dominik Shine credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
P1 13:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Adin Hill
P1 12:28
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 12:28
Stoppage
P1 12:21
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P1 12:21
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:20
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P1 10:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Smith
P1 09:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden McNabb
P1 08:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P1 07:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
P1 07:07
SHOT
Braeden Bowman shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P1 06:53
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P1 06:53
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:19
Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in defensive zone
P1 06:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Adin Hill
P1 05:58
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
P1 05:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Adin Hill
P1 05:18
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P1 04:33
Takeaway by Kaedan Korczak in defensive zone
P1 04:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
P1 03:53
Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P1 03:32
Giveaway by Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P1 03:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:18
Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Albert Johansson in defensive zone
P1 03:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Adin Hill
P1 02:12
Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
P1 02:10
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brandon Saad in defensive zone
P1 01:50
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
P1 01:50
GOAL
Goal scored by Reilly Smith assisted by Mitch Marner and Pavel Dorofeyev
1-0
P1 00:49
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 00:00
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Red Wings
25Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
19Hits11
10Shots Blocked16
11Giveaways13
Golden KnightsVGK
Red WingsDET
25Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
19Hits11
10Shots Blocked16
11Giveaways13

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Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +118, Red Wings -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 47%
  • Red Wings: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 47%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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