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Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bruins vs. Lightning NHL game on February 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
6
Feb 1, 11:30PM Raymond James Stadium
Feb 1, 11:30PM Raymond James Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bruins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Lightning | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bruins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Lightning | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
OT1 04:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 04:27 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 04:07 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 03:59 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 03:13 Shot missed by Fraser Minten
OT1 02:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 02:02 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:54 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:24 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
OT1 00:40 Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:28 Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:56 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 17:42 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
P3 16:11 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 15:36 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
P3 14:59 Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:04 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matthew Poitras
P3 11:50 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Erik Cernak
P3 11:12 Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout Goal scored by Jake Guentzel on Jeremy Swayman
Shootout attempt by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
Shootout attempt by Gage Goncalves saved by Jeremy Swayman
End of 1st OT.
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Home Timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Fraser Minten
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
End of 3rd Period.
Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matthew Poitras
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Erik Cernak
5-5
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Matthew Poitras
Dominic James won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Icing
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Icing
Penalty to Michael Eyssimont 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
5-3
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Penalty to Tanner Jeannot 2 minutes for Interference
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Jeremy Swayman 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Penalty to Charlie McAvoy 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Geekie assisted by David Pastrnak and Marat Khusnutdinov
5-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Stoppage - Icing
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jeremy Swayman
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Fraser Minten
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
Matthew Poitras won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Poitras saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Matthew Poitras won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie McAvoy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Geekie assisted by Jonathan Aspirot
2-1
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Rink Repair
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Morgan Geekie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
Penalty to Viktor Arvidsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Icing
Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 46 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 57% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 8/3 | |||
| 25 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 15 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 19 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 46 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 57% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 8/3 | |||
| 25 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 15 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 19 |
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Bruins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bruins vs. Lightning
- Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bruins +185, Lightning -210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bruins: 37%
- Lightning: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bruins a win probability of 37%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bruins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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