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Jets vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jets vs. Lightning NHL game on January 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
4
Jan 30, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
Jan 30, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jets | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jets | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
P3 17:29 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Elias Salomonsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:58 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 15:22 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 14:17 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 14:01 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 13:53 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 11:05 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 09:55 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 09:33 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 08:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:59 Dylan DeMelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 05:14 Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 05:05 Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 03:25 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 02:39 Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 02:34 Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:58 Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P2 16:41 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 16:31 Shot missed by Max Crozier
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Morgan Barron won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Salomonsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Connor Hellebuyck
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Tanner Pearson won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jets won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Morgan Barron won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Max Crozier credited with hit on Morgan Barron in neutral zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Connor Hellebuyck
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Morgan Barron won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Dylan DeMelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jets won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Jets won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Alex Iafallo credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Cole Perfetti in defensive zone
SHOT
Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Connor Hellebuyck
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Connor Hellebuyck
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Connor Hellebuyck
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Jack Finley won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle Connor
1-2
Stoppage - Player Injury
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Dominic James won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Samberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Vladislav Namestnikov credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Gabriel Vilardi in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Elias Salomonsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Connor Hellebuyck
Dominic James won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Koepke
GOAL
Goal scored by Dominic James assisted by Darren Raddysh and J.J. Moser
0-1
Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jack Finley won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
Stoppage - Player Injury
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Morgan Barron won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Elias Salomonsson
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Dominic James
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 29 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 29 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Jets vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jets vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Jets +158, Lightning -184
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jets: 39%
- Lightning: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 39%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jets vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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