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Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Kraken NHL game on January 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
2
5
Jan 30, 3AM Climate Pledge Arena
Kraken
Jan 30, 3AM Climate Pledge Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 2
Kraken
1 2 2 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
KrakenSEA
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 2
Kraken
1 2 2 5
P3 19:38 Brandon Montour shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 17:54 Shot on goal by Kaapo Kakko saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:23 Goal scored by Jared McCann (Empty Net)
P3 16:50 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 16:11 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Joey Daccord
P3 15:48 Shot missed by Jared McCann
P3 11:29 Power play - Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 11:05 Power play - Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 10:00 Power play - Matty Beniers shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 08:42 Troy Stecher shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P3 07:35 Shot missed by Matty Beniers
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Joey Daccord
P3 05:53 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 05:50 Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Joey Daccord
P3 04:49 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 03:38 Matthew Knies shot blocked by Brandon Montour
P3 02:39 Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 02:28 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Joey Daccord
P3 02:03 Jacob Melanson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 00:05 Shot on goal by Eeli Tolvanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:38
SHOT
Brandon Montour shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 18:26
Jacob Melanson credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P3 17:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaapo Kakko saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:23
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
P3 17:23
GOAL
Goal scored by Jared McCann (Empty Net)
2-5
P3 16:50
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 16:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Joey Daccord
P3 15:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Jared McCann
P3 14:07
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 14:07
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 13:30
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Jared McCann in defensive zone
P3 12:54
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
P3 12:48
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P3 12:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:29
SHOT
Power play - Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 11:05
SHOT
Power play - Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 10:00
SHOT
Power play - Matty Beniers shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 09:37
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Eeli Tolvanen)
P3 09:31
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
P3 08:42
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P3 07:50
Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Jordan Eberle in defensive zone
P3 07:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Matty Beniers
P3 07:22
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
P3 07:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Joey Daccord
P3 06:04
Shane Wright won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 05:53
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 05:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Joey Daccord
P3 04:57
Penalty to Shane Wright 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Nicolas Roy)
P3 04:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 03:38
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Brandon Montour
P3 02:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 02:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Joey Daccord
P3 02:10
Jared McCann won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 02:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:03
SHOT
Jacob Melanson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 00:30
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 00:30
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eeli Tolvanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 00:00
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Joey Daccord
P2 19:24
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P2 19:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Joey Daccord
P2 18:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Joey Daccord
P2 18:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 18:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 17:58
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
P2 17:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 17:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P2 16:43
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shane Wright
P2 16:41
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 16:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P2 16:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P2 15:34
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P2 15:30
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 15:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 14:48
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 14:48
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:30
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 13:30
Stoppage - Offside
P2 12:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Joey Daccord
P2 12:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 11:48
John Tavares won faceoff against Kraken in defensive zone
P2 10:40
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 09:58
Jacob Melanson credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
P2 09:52
Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Jacob Melanson in neutral zone
P2 08:55
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
P2 08:55
Stoppage - Offside
P2 07:41
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:34
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 07:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Joey Daccord
P2 06:54
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
P2 06:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Montour assisted by Freddy Gaudreau and Chandler Stephenson
1-3
P2 06:23
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P2 06:23
GOAL
Goal scored by Shane Wright assisted by Jaden Schwartz and Vince Dunn
1-2
P2 05:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Joey Daccord
P2 05:10
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 05:10
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:26
Giveaway by Adam Larsson in defensive zone
P2 03:10
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P2 03:10
Stoppage - Offside
P2 01:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Winterton saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Melanson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 01:17
Brandon Montour credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P2 01:08
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 01:05
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
P2 01:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:00
Power play - Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Power play - Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 19:06
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
P1 19:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
P1 18:46
Troy Stecher credited with hit on Ryan Winterton in defensive zone
P1 18:25
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 18:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:29
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P1 16:44
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 16:14
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
P1 16:14
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jaden Schwartz saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 15:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jaden Schwartz saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 15:02
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 15:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson
1-1
P1 14:27
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
P1 14:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryker Evans
P1 12:48
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
P1 12:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P1 12:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Joey Daccord
P1 12:08
John Tavares won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
P1 12:08
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P1 11:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 11:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Joey Daccord
P1 10:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryker Evans
P1 09:14
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P1 08:22
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
P1 06:42
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
P1 06:35
John Tavares won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
P1 06:35
Penalty to Adam Larsson 2 minutes for Hooking
P1 06:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Joey Daccord
P1 06:16
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
P1 06:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eeli Tolvanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 04:08
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Kaapo Kakko in neutral zone
P1 03:54
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P1 03:54
Stoppage - Offside
P1 02:36
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 02:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P1 01:56
Takeaway by Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P1 01:25
Giveaway by Troy Stecher in neutral zone
P1 01:21
Shane Wright won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 00:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Berkly Catton
P1 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Kraken
31Shots on Goal22
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits13
9Shots Blocked12
19Giveaways17
Maple LeafsTOR
KrakenSEA
31Shots on Goal22
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits13
9Shots Blocked12
19Giveaways17

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Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Kraken
  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -113, Kraken +100

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 49%
  • Kraken: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 49%, while the Kraken have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Kraken are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Climate Pledge Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Kraken predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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