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Capitals vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Red Wings NHL game on January 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Capitals
4
3
Jan 30, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Jan 30, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 0 2 0 4
Red Wings
0 1 2 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CapitalsWSH
Win %
100%
0%
Red WingsDET
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 0 2 0 4
Red Wings
0 1 2 0 3
OT1 02:47 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
OT1 01:10 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by John Gibson
P3 18:44 Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:16 Dylan Larkin shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 17:20 Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 16:34 Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 16:02 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 14:43 Goal scored by Declan Chisholm
P3 14:41 Dylan Strome shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P3 13:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:25 Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 10:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by John Gibson
P3 10:01 Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 09:36 Goal scored by Dylan Strome
P3 09:30 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by John Gibson
P3 08:47 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 06:24 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:14 Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 03:38 Tom Wilson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
SO
End of Shootout period.
SO
Shootout Goal scored by Nic Dowd on John Gibson
SO
Shootout Goal scored by Ryan Leonard on John Gibson
SO
Shootout attempt by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
OT1 02:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
OT1 01:16
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
OT1 01:16
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
OT1 01:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by John Gibson
OT1 00:00
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P3 19:07
Nic Dowd won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P3 18:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 18:40
Takeaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
P3 18:20
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 18:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:16
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 17:34
Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 17:23
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P3 17:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 16:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 16:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 15:42
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
P3 14:44
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 14:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Declan Chisholm
3-1
P3 14:41
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P3 13:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 12:26
Power play - Giveaway by Patrick Kane in offensive zone
P3 11:52
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P3 11:04
Power play - Ethen Frank credited with hit on Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P3 10:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 10:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by John Gibson
P3 10:01
SHOT
Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 09:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Strome
2-1
P3 09:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by John Gibson
P3 09:28
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P3 09:28
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 06:24
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:12
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P3 06:12
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 06:12
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
P3 05:50
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P3 05:50
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 04:36
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
P3 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 03:38
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 03:37
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:24
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 03:24
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 02:14
Giveaway by Albert Johansson in defensive zone
P3 01:54
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
P3 01:36
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 01:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by John Gibson
P3 01:08
SHOT
Marco Kasper shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 00:49
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P3 00:30
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 00:27
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 00:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 00:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 17:31
SHOT
Albert Johansson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P2 16:53
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
P2 16:35
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:20
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P2 16:12
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
P2 15:56
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
P2 15:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 15:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by John Gibson
P2 14:48
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 14:48
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 14:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P2 12:24
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
P2 11:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by John Gibson
P2 11:43
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P2 11:43
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P2 10:59
SHOT
Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by John Carlson
P2 10:36
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P2 10:22
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
P2 10:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 09:52
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
P2 09:52
GOAL
Goal scored by Ben Chiarot assisted by Alex DeBrincat and Patrick Kane
1-1
P2 09:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P2 09:22
Giveaway by Moritz Seider in defensive zone
P2 08:47
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 08:21
Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker in defensive zone
P2 08:17
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
P2 07:27
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P2 07:05
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P2 06:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 05:25
Shorthanded - Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
P2 04:45
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 03:40
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
P2 03:38
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
P2 02:54
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:42
Axel Sandin-Pellikka credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
P2 02:21
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 02:20
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P2 01:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P2 00:56
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 00:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 00:04
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:00
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 17:58
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P1 17:31
Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P1 16:08
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Andrew Copp in offensive zone
P1 15:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P1 14:38
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P1 14:38
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
P1 13:25
Elmer Soderblom credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in neutral zone
P1 13:10
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
P1 13:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:24
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 12:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:31
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P1 11:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 10:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P1 09:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 09:27
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
P1 08:38
Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P1 08:02
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P1 07:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 06:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Chisholm saved by John Gibson
P1 06:45
Giveaway by Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
P1 06:27
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
P1 05:53
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P1 05:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
P1 05:47
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P1 05:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P1 05:01
SHOT
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Hendrix Lapierre
P1 04:58
Capitals won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
P1 04:45
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 04:36
Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 04:06
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
P1 04:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:04
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P1 03:38
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Elmer Soderblom in defensive zone
P1 02:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P1 02:00
Stoppage - Chlg Vis - off-side
P1 01:06
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tom Wilson in offensive zone
P1 00:40
Nic Dowd credited with hit on James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
P1 00:29
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Red Wings
23Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits13
21Shots Blocked15
6Giveaways14
CapitalsWSH
Red WingsDET
23Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits13
21Shots Blocked15
6Giveaways14

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Capitals vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +118, Red Wings -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 47%
  • Red Wings: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 47%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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