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Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
7
4
Jan 28, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Jan 28, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
Maple Leafs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
Maple Leafs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
P3 19:51 Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 19:25 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P3 18:23 John Tavares shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 17:16 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 16:13 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Colten Ellis
P3 14:58 Goal scored by Max Domi
P3 13:59 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 13:38 Sabres shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:23 Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 12:38 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Colten Ellis
P3 11:32 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:32 Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 09:45 Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
P3 09:41 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 07:41 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 06:46 Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:53 Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:48 Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:42 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 04:44 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Colten Ellis
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Colten Ellis
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Domi
6-4
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Josh Doan in defensive zone
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Sabres shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Colten Ellis
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joseph Woll
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Rasmus Dahlin
6-3
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Benson)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Zach Benson
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Colten Ellis
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by John Tavares
Sabres won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Joseph Woll
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Colten Ellis
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
SHOT
Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joseph Woll
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jason Zucker in neutral zone
Takeaway by Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Joseph Woll
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Jack Quinn in neutral zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by teammate
Sabres won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Colten Ellis
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Bowen Byram
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Troy Stecher
Jason Zucker won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Joseph Woll
End of 1st Period.
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Jack Quinn in neutral zone
Takeaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Metsa saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Joseph Woll
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Michael Kesselring in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joseph Woll
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Sabres won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Zach Metsa
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Josh Doan
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Maple Leafs challenge (Offside), call reversed
Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
GOAL
Goal scored by Sabres
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Joseph Woll
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Tyson Kozak credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joseph Woll
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
SHOT
Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Giveaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in neutral zone
Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Bowen Byram in defensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 33% | Faceoff Win % | 67% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 0/0 | |||
| 0 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 32 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 24 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 33% | Faceoff Win % | 67% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 0/0 | |||
| 0 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 32 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 24 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday, January 27, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Sabres -102, Maple Leafs -115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Sabres: 48%
- Maple Leafs: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 48%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Sabres vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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