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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Avalanche
4
1
Jan 25, 6:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Jan 25, 6:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Avalanche
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
AvalancheCOL
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Avalanche
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
P3 19:09 Shot on goal by Taylor Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 16:43 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:36 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 16:32 Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 16:23 Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 15:44 Martin Necas shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 14:59 Matias Maccelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:46 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 13:20 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 10:48 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:36 Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 08:06 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:03 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 05:55 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 03:44 Shot missed by Parker Kelly
P3 03:29 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:47 Jack Drury shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:58
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 18:25
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 18:25
Sam Malinski won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 18:22
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 17:41
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 17:17
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 16:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:40
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 16:40
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 16:34
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 16:32
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 16:23
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 15:44
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 14:59
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:56
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 14:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 13:36
Jacob Quillan credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in offensive zone
P3 13:27
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Martin Necas in defensive zone
P3 13:23
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 13:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:18
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 13:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 10:48
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 08:07
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 08:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 08:03
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 07:52
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:39
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
P3 06:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 05:57
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 05:55
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 04:39
Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
P3 03:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Kelly
P3 03:38
Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P3 03:31
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 03:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 02:46
Josh Manson credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
P3 02:27
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
P3 02:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:21
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
P3 01:47
SHOT
Jack Drury shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 01:42
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
P3 01:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Ahcan saved by Joseph Woll
P3 00:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Joseph Woll
P3 00:35
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:00
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P2 18:53
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P2 17:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Joseph Woll
P2 17:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
P2 17:09
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 16:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:51
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 15:43
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 15:05
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P2 15:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
P2 14:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
P2 12:59
John Tavares won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
P2 12:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
P2 12:19
Jack Drury won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P2 12:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 11:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 10:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
P2 10:38
SHOT
Jack Ahcan shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 10:03
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 10:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Ahcan saved by Joseph Woll
P2 08:56
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in defensive zone
P2 08:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 07:51
John Tavares won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
P2 07:13
Josh Manson credited with hit on Simon Benoit in neutral zone
P2 06:49
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 06:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P2 06:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 05:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 05:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 05:13
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 05:06
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P2 04:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P2 03:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Joseph Woll
P2 02:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P2 02:37
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Josh Manson
P2 01:57
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P2 01:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 01:20
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Josh Manson in offensive zone
P2 01:04
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 01:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:53
Josh Manson won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
P2 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 00:10
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:45
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 19:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Joseph Woll
P1 18:59
John Tavares won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in defensive zone
P1 18:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
P1 18:26
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P1 18:17
Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 18:13
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P1 18:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
P1 16:38
SHOT
Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P1 16:36
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Josh Manson)
P1 16:00
Martin Necas credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P1 15:22
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 15:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 14:18
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P1 13:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 12:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P1 11:47
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P1 11:47
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 11:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 11:26
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 11:22
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 11:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 11:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P1 10:34
Penalty to Artturi Lehkonen 2 minutes for Slashing
P1 10:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 10:02
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 08:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Manson
P1 08:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 07:31
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 07:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Brock Nelson assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Valeri Nichushkin
2-0
P1 07:07
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P1 07:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 07:03
SHOT
Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P1 06:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Joseph Woll
P1 06:19
Jack Drury won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P1 06:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P1 06:01
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Maple Leafs in offensive zone
P1 05:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
P1 05:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avalanche saved by Joseph Woll
P1 05:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:44
Valeri Nichushkin credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
P1 04:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P1 04:23
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 03:09
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
P1 03:09
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:48
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
P1 02:43
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
P1 02:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P1 02:39
SHOT
Taylor Makar shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 01:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P1 01:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 00:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 00:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P1 00:16
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:09
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P1 00:04
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Maple Leafs
37Shots on Goal33
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
14Hits28
8Shots Blocked16
17Giveaways14
AvalancheCOL
Maple LeafsTOR
37Shots on Goal33
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
14Hits28
8Shots Blocked16
17Giveaways14

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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -170, Maple Leafs +150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 60%
  • Maple Leafs: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 60%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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