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Oilers vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Islanders NHL game on October 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Oilers
2
4
Oct 16, 11:30PM UBS Arena
Islanders
Oct 16, 11:30PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Oilers
1102
Islanders
1124
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
0%
100%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
1102
Islanders
1124
P3 19:51 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 18:57 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:51 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
P3 18:39 Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 18:30 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 18:17 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 17:02 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
P3 16:54 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:42 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by David Rittich
P3 15:53 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 15:36 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:25 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:14 Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
P3 14:35 Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P3 13:52 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
P3 13:16 Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 13:10 Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 13:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:11 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:51
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
P3 19:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 18:57
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
P3 18:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 18:30
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 18:17
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 17:15
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P3 17:15
Stoppage - High Stick
P3 17:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
P3 16:54
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:52
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 16:52
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by David Rittich
P3 16:37
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P3 16:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:53
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 15:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:14
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P3 15:14
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
2-3
P3 15:07
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 15:07
Penalty to Trent Frederic 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Matthew Schaefer)
P3 14:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P3 14:31
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 14:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 13:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
P3 13:16
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 13:13
Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 13:13
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 13:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 13:05
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P3 13:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:11
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:06
SHOT
Power play - Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 11:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:18
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 11:18
Penalty to Troy Stecher 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jonathan Drouin)
P3 10:14
Giveaway by Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P3 10:05
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Kyle Palmieri in defensive zone
P3 10:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 10:03
SHOT
Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin
P3 09:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by David Rittich
P3 09:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 09:04
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P3 09:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P3 09:00
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:51
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 08:33
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 08:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:51
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P3 07:51
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:23
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 07:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 07:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
P3 06:59
SHOT
Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 04:37
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 04:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 04:12
Oilers won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 04:11
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 04:11
Simon Holmstrom won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 04:11
Penalty to Emil Heineman 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 04:11
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:09
SHOT
Shorthanded - Matt Savoie shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 02:32
Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 02:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:29
SHOT
Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Matt Savoie
P3 02:28
Oilers won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
P3 02:27
Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 02:27
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 02:27
Penalty to Mattias Ekholm 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Kyle Palmieri)
P3 02:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by David Rittich
P3 01:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P3 01:09
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P3 01:09
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 01:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 00:52
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 00:45
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 00:45
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:00
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Isaac Howard
P2 19:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P2 19:09
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P2 19:09
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
P2 18:22
Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 18:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
P2 17:56
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P2 17:55
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:46
SHOT
Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P2 17:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P2 17:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by David Rittich
P2 17:01
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 16:35
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P2 16:35
Stoppage - Icing
P2 16:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P2 16:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P2 15:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P2 15:36
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 15:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P2 15:01
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P2 15:01
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P2 14:19
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Ty Emberson in offensive zone
P2 14:06
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Ty Emberson in neutral zone
P2 13:52
Takeaway by Vasily Podkolzin in offensive zone
P2 13:48
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
P2 13:48
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 13:35
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anders Lee
P2 12:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
P2 12:52
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P2 11:14
Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 11:14
Penalty to David Tomasek 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:00
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P2 10:36
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P2 10:36
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:29
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P2 10:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 10:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 10:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 09:08
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
P2 08:53
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P2 08:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by David Rittich
P2 08:21
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 08:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 07:59
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P2 07:59
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P2 07:25
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P2 07:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:21
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 07:11
SHOT
Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Andrew Mangiapane
P2 07:06
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 06:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:59
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P2 05:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 05:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
P2 05:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P2 04:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by David Rittich
P2 03:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 03:24
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
P2 03:24
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by David Rittich
P2 03:00
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
P2 02:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by David Rittich
P2 02:53
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 02:08
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P2 02:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
P2 00:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
P2 00:39
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P2 00:39
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 00:20
Giveaway by Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 19:14
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 19:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 19:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P1 18:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 18:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P1 18:03
SHOT
Kasperi Kapanen shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P1 17:46
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Kasperi Kapanen in defensive zone
P1 17:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P1 17:40
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P1 17:40
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid and David Tomasek
1-1
P1 17:35
Oilers won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 17:33
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 17:33
Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 17:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:20
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 17:20
Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Matt Savoie)
P1 16:49
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 16:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 16:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 16:23
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P1 16:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Mathew Barzal
0-1
P1 16:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by David Rittich
P1 15:44
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 15:44
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:59
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P1 14:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 14:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by David Rittich
P1 13:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by David Rittich
P1 13:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P1 13:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 12:33
SHOT
Matt Savoie shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P1 12:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
P1 10:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P1 10:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
P1 08:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P1 08:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P1 08:29
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P1 08:29
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:08
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P1 07:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 05:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 05:03
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 05:03
Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for Tripping
P1 04:45
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 04:45
Penalty to Adam Pelech 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
P1 04:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by David Rittich
P1 03:15
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Isaac Howard in offensive zone
P1 02:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by David Rittich
P1 02:39
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 02:39
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P1 02:18
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P1 01:48
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P1 00:57
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 00:57
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
P1 00:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 00:18
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P1 00:18
Stoppage - Clock Problem
P1 00:00
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Oilers won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
 STATS
Islanders
33Shots on Goal25
57%Faceoff Win %43%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
7Hits18
13Shots Blocked13
17Giveaways12
OilersEDM
IslandersNYI
33Shots on Goal25
57%Faceoff Win %43%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
7Hits18
13Shots Blocked13
17Giveaways12

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Oilers vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -162, Islanders +140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 59%
  • Islanders: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 59%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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