Oilers vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Islanders NHL game on October 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Oilers
2
4
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Oilers
1 1 0 2
Islanders
1 1 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
1 1 0 2
Islanders
1 1 2 4
P3 19:51 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 18:57 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:51 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
P3 18:39 Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 18:30 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 18:17 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 17:02 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
P3 16:54 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:42 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by David Rittich
P3 15:53 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 15:36 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:25 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:14 Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
P3 14:35 Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P3 13:52 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
P3 13:16 Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 13:10 Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 13:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:11 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:51
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  4. P3 19:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  5. P3 18:57
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
  6. P3 18:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
  7. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  8. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  9. P3 18:17
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
  10. P3 17:15
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  11. P3 17:15
    Stoppage - High Stick
  12. P3 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by David Rittich
  13. P3 16:54
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
  14. P3 16:52
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  15. P3 16:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  16. P3 16:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by David Rittich
  17. P3 16:37
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  18. P3 16:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  19. P3 15:53
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Bo Horvat
  20. P3 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  21. P3 15:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Stuart Skinner
  22. P3 15:14
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  23. P3 15:14
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
    2-3
  24. P3 15:07
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  25. P3 15:07
    Penalty to Trent Frederic 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Matthew Schaefer)
  26. P3 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  27. P3 14:31
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  28. P3 14:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  29. P3 13:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
  30. P3 13:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  31. P3 13:13
    Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  32. P3 13:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  33. P3 13:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  34. P3 13:05
    Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  35. P3 13:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  36. P3 13:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
  37. P3 12:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  38. P3 12:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  39. P3 11:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
  40. P3 11:18
    Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  41. P3 11:18
    Penalty to Troy Stecher 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jonathan Drouin)
  42. P3 10:14
    Giveaway by Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  43. P3 10:05
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Kyle Palmieri in defensive zone
  44. P3 10:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  45. P3 10:03
    SHOT
    Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin
  46. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by David Rittich
  47. P3 09:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  48. P3 09:04
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  49. P3 09:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 09:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Stuart Skinner
  51. P3 09:00
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  52. P3 09:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  53. P3 08:51
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  54. P3 08:33
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  55. P3 08:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Stuart Skinner
  57. P3 07:51
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  58. P3 07:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  59. P3 07:23
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  60. P3 07:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  61. P3 07:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
  62. P3 06:59
    SHOT
    Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  63. P3 04:37
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  64. P3 04:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  65. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  66. P3 04:12
    Oilers won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  67. P3 04:11
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  68. P3 04:11
    Simon Holmstrom won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  69. P3 04:11
    Penalty to Emil Heineman 2 minutes for Misconduct
  70. P3 04:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  71. P3 04:09
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Matt Savoie shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  72. P3 02:32
    Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  73. P3 02:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  74. P3 02:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Matt Savoie
  75. P3 02:28
    Oilers won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
  76. P3 02:27
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  77. P3 02:27
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  78. P3 02:27
    Penalty to Mattias Ekholm 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Kyle Palmieri)
  79. P3 02:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by David Rittich
  80. P3 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
  81. P3 01:09
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  82. P3 01:09
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  83. P3 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  84. P3 00:52
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  85. P3 00:45
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  86. P3 00:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P3 00:00
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
  88. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  89. P2 19:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Isaac Howard
  90. P2 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Kulak
  91. P2 19:09
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  92. P2 19:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  93. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
  94. P2 18:22
    Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  95. P2 18:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  96. P2 18:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by David Rittich
  97. P2 17:56
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  98. P2 17:55
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
  99. P2 17:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  100. P2 17:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  101. P2 17:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by David Rittich
  102. P2 17:01
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  103. P2 16:35
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  104. P2 16:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  105. P2 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  106. P2 16:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  107. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  108. P2 15:36
    Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  109. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  110. P2 15:01
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  111. P2 15:01
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  112. P2 14:19
    Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Ty Emberson in offensive zone
  113. P2 14:06
    Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Ty Emberson in neutral zone
  114. P2 13:52
    Takeaway by Vasily Podkolzin in offensive zone
  115. P2 13:48
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
  116. P2 13:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  117. P2 13:35
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anders Lee
  118. P2 12:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
  119. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  120. P2 11:14
    Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  121. P2 11:14
    Penalty to David Tomasek 2 minutes for Misconduct
  122. P2 11:00
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
  123. P2 10:36
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  124. P2 10:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  125. P2 10:29
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  126. P2 10:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  127. P2 10:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  128. P2 10:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
  129. P2 10:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  130. P2 09:08
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  131. P2 08:53
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  132. P2 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by David Rittich
  133. P2 08:21
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  134. P2 08:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  135. P2 08:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
  136. P2 07:59
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  137. P2 07:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  138. P2 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
  139. P2 07:25
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  140. P2 07:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  141. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  142. P2 07:11
    SHOT
    Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Andrew Mangiapane
  143. P2 07:06
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  144. P2 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Stuart Skinner
  145. P2 05:59
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  146. P2 05:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  147. P2 05:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
  148. P2 05:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  149. P2 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by David Rittich
  150. P2 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
  151. P2 03:24
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
  152. P2 03:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  153. P2 03:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by David Rittich
  154. P2 03:00
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
  155. P2 02:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by David Rittich
  156. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  157. P2 02:08
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  158. P2 02:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  159. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
  160. P2 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
  161. P2 00:39
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  162. P2 00:39
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  163. P2 00:20
    Giveaway by Trent Frederic in neutral zone
  164. P2 00:00
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
  165. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  166. P1 19:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  167. P1 19:14
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  168. P1 19:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Stuart Skinner
  169. P1 19:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  170. P1 18:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Stuart Skinner
  171. P1 18:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  172. P1 18:03
    SHOT
    Kasperi Kapanen shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
  173. P1 17:46
    Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Kasperi Kapanen in defensive zone
  174. P1 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  175. P1 17:40
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
  176. P1 17:40
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid and David Tomasek
    1-1
  177. P1 17:35
    Oilers won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  178. P1 17:33
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  179. P1 17:33
    Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  180. P1 17:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  181. P1 17:20
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  182. P1 17:20
    Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Matt Savoie)
  183. P1 16:49
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  184. P1 16:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  185. P1 16:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Stuart Skinner
  186. P1 16:23
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  187. P1 16:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mathew Barzal
    0-1
  188. P1 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by David Rittich
  189. P1 15:44
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  190. P1 15:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  191. P1 14:59
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  192. P1 14:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  193. P1 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
  194. P1 14:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by David Rittich
  195. P1 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by David Rittich
  196. P1 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  197. P1 13:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  198. P1 12:33
    SHOT
    Matt Savoie shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  199. P1 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oilers
  200. P1 10:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  201. P1 10:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Stuart Skinner
  202. P1 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
  203. P1 08:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  204. P1 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  205. P1 08:29
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  206. P1 08:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  207. P1 08:08
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  208. P1 07:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  209. P1 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Stuart Skinner
  210. P1 05:03
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  211. P1 05:03
    Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for Tripping
  212. P1 04:45
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  213. P1 04:45
    Penalty to Adam Pelech 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
  214. P1 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by David Rittich
  215. P1 03:15
    Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Isaac Howard in offensive zone
  216. P1 02:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by David Rittich
  217. P1 02:39
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  218. P1 02:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  219. P1 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  220. P1 02:18
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  221. P1 01:48
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  222. P1 00:57
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  223. P1 00:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  224. P1 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by David Rittich
  225. P1 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Stuart Skinner
  226. P1 00:18
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  227. P1 00:18
    Stoppage - Clock Problem
  228. P1 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  229. P1 00:00
    Oilers won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  230. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Islanders
33Shots on Goal25
57% Faceoff Win % 43%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
7Hits18
13 Shots Blocked 13
17Giveaways12
OilersEDM
IslandersNYI
33Shots on Goal25
57% Faceoff Win % 43%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
7Hits18
13 Shots Blocked 13
17Giveaways12

Oilers vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -162, Islanders +140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 59%
  • Islanders: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 59%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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