Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Red Wings

Jan 22, 12AM Scotiabank Arena

Maple Leafs

Jan 22, 12AM Scotiabank Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	OT	T
Red Wings	1	0	0	1	2
Maple Leafs	1	0	0	0	1

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Red WingsDET

Win %

100%

Maple LeafsTOR

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	OT	T
Red Wings	1	0	0	1	2
Maple Leafs	1	0	0	0	1

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

OT1 05:00

End of 1st OT.

OT1 03:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Joseph Woll

OT1 02:56

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

OT1 02:21

SHOT

Shot missed by Auston Matthews

OT1 01:57

SHOT

Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson

OT1 01:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Joseph Woll

OT1 00:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Joseph Woll

OT1 00:24

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone

OT1 00:21

SHOT

Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Joseph Woll

OT1 00:00

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:19

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 19:02

Red Wings won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone

P3 18:41

SHOT

Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen

P3 18:29

SHOT

Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson

P3 18:27

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P3 17:54

John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P3 17:44

SHOT

Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat

P3 17:01

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P3 16:27

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by John Gibson

P3 15:34

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Matthew Knies in defensive zone

P3 15:34

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P3 15:25

Red Wings won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone

P3 14:27

Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone

P3 14:25

SHOT

Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Joseph Woll

P3 13:36

SHOT

Shot missed by Moritz Seider

P3 12:52

Jake McCabe credited with hit on Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P3 12:46

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone

P3 11:27

SHOT

Shot missed by Ben Chiarot

P3 11:12

Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Official Injury

P3 11:04

Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone

P3 10:58

SHOT

Shot missed by Morgan Rielly

P3 10:33

Matthew Knies credited with hit on Marco Kasper in neutral zone

P3 10:16

Moritz Seider won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone

P3 10:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Joseph Woll

P3 09:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by John Gibson

P3 08:47

SHOT

Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by Jake McCabe

P3 08:08

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 07:04

Jake McCabe credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in defensive zone

P3 06:56

John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P3 06:56

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 06:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Joseph Woll

P3 06:13

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone

P3 06:11

SHOT

Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Joseph Woll

P3 05:19

Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone

P3 05:08

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P3 04:45

SHOT

Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk

P3 04:15

Stoppage - Icing

P3 04:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Joseph Woll

P3 03:44

SHOT

Shot missed by Lucas Raymond

P3 02:52

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Joseph Woll

P3 02:46

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 02:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Joseph Woll

P3 02:08

SHOT

Shot missed by Moritz Seider

P3 01:33

J.T. Compher won faceoff against Matias Maccelli in defensive zone

P3 01:24

John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone

P3 00:24

SHOT

Shot missed by Brandon Carlo

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 19:40

SHOT

Jake McCabe shot blocked by Dylan Larkin

P2 19:13

SHOT

Moritz Seider shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 19:09

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P2 19:07

SHOT

Shot missed by Moritz Seider

P2 19:03

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone

P2 19:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Joseph Woll

P2 18:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Joseph Woll

P2 18:45

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 18:43

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by John Gibson

P2 18:29

Red Wings won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone

P2 17:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Joseph Woll

P2 16:41

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P2 16:41

Penalty to Red Wings 0 minutes for Interference on breakaway (Penalty Shot) (Drawn by Scott Laughton) (Served by Simon Edvinsson)

P2 14:49

Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone

P2 14:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Joseph Woll

P2 13:31

SHOT

Mason Appleton shot blocked by Troy Stecher

P2 13:00

Giveaway by Lucas Raymond in neutral zone

P2 12:02

SHOT

Shot missed by Bobby McMann

P2 12:00

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P2 11:55

Red Wings won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone

P2 11:17

Shorthanded - Takeaway by Albert Johansson in defensive zone

P2 10:51

Shorthanded - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone

P2 10:51

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 10:50

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by John Gibson

P2 10:27

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P2 10:19

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by John Gibson

P2 09:31

Penalty to James van Riemsdyk 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Matias Maccelli)

P2 09:26

J.T. Compher won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P2 09:17

SHOT

Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by John Gibson

P2 08:13

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P2 08:13

Stoppage

P2 07:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by John Gibson

P2 06:21

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by John Gibson

P2 06:08

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by John Gibson

P2 05:51

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by John Gibson

P2 04:59

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:58

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by John Gibson

P2 04:28

Penalty to Jacob Bernard-Docker 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Bobby McMann)

P2 04:21

Giveaway by Andrew Copp in offensive zone

P2 03:59

Stoppage - Icing

P2 03:55

SHOT

Shot missed by Red Wings

P2 03:43

SHOT

Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Joseph Woll

P2 03:04

SHOT

Easton Cowan shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson

P2 02:23

Giveaway by John Gibson in defensive zone

P2 01:58

SHOT

Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Albert Johansson

P2 01:43

J.T. Compher won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P2 01:43

Stoppage - Hand Pass

P2 01:34

Stoppage - Icing

P2 01:27

SHOT

Troy Stecher shot blocked by Dylan Larkin

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by John Gibson

P1 19:42

John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone

P1 19:30

Red Wings won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone

P1 19:29

Marco Kasper won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P1 19:10

SHOT

Albert Johansson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly

P1 19:03

SHOT

Shot missed by Andrew Copp

P1 17:53

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone

P1 17:39

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicolas Roy

P1 17:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Joseph Woll

P1 16:25

John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone

P1 16:25

Stoppage - Offside

P1 15:22

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P1 15:08

Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P1 15:03

Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P1 14:52

SHOT

Max Domi shot blocked by Moritz Seider

P1 14:48

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone

P1 14:35

SHOT

Troy Stecher shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen

P1 14:31

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicolas Roy

P1 13:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by John Gibson

P1 13:47

Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone

P1 12:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Joseph Woll

P1 12:23

SHOT

Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Joseph Woll

P1 11:15

Giveaway by John Tavares in neutral zone

P1 11:05

SHOT

Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Joseph Woll

P1 10:24

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson

P1 09:19

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P1 09:19

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 07:53

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P1 07:36

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Joseph Woll

P1 07:34

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Marco Kasper

P1 06:32

Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone

P1 06:29

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Joseph Woll

P1 06:03

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by John Gibson

P1 05:37

Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P1 05:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Joseph Woll

P1 04:46

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone

P1 03:57

Stoppage - Icing

P1 03:26

SHOT

Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson

P1 03:24

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 03:23

SHOT

Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by John Gibson

P1 02:51

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Joseph Woll

P1 02:40

Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone

P1 02:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Joseph Woll

P1 01:29

John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone

P1 01:29

Stoppage - Offside

P1 01:19

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by John Gibson

P1 01:17

John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone

P1 01:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P1 00:50

SHOT

Shot missed by Dylan Larkin

P1 00:05

Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Andrew Copp won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone

Stats

Red Wings		STATS		Maple Leafs

41	Shots on Goal	31
49%	Faceoff Win %	51%
2/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	2/0
4	Penalty Infraction Mins	4
15	Hits	22
12	Shots Blocked	16
16	Giveaways	16

Red WingsDET			Maple LeafsTOR

41	Shots on Goal	31
49%	Faceoff Win %	51%
2/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	2/0
4	Penalty Infraction Mins	4
15	Hits	22
12	Shots Blocked	16
16	Giveaways	16

Game Prediction Article

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs
Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 6
Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +105, Maple Leafs -120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Red Wings: 46%
Maple Leafs: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 46%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

...

Read Article

...

Read Article

...

Read Article

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Game Prediction Article

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

Summary

Related Articles