Patriots vs. Bears: NFL Week 7 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Patriots vs. Bears prediction for Thursday, October 22, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
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STARTS IN 37m
NFL
STARTS IN 37m
NFL sport icon
NFL
Patriots
Predicted score
23
:
26
Soldier Field
Bears
Soldier Field
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Bears -2.5
Spread
  • Patriots
    40.7%
    NovigNovig
  • Bears
    59.3%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Patriots
Probability
  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    42.4%
  • A.J. Brown
    34.4%
  • Hunter Henry
    26.0%
  • TreVeyon Henderson
  • Drake Maye
Bears
Probability
  • D'Andre Swift
    58.4%
  • Roschon Johnson
    33.0%
  • Colston Loveland
    28.9%
  • Luther Burden
  • Rome Odunze
Projected Player Stats
Patriots Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
D. Maye
Bears Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
C. Williams
Patriots Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
R. Stevenson
D. Maye
T. Henderson
Bears Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
D. Swift
R. Johnson
C. Williams
Patriots Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
A. Brown
D. Douglas
H. Henry
K. Williams
E. Chism
Bears Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
L. Burden
R. Odunze
C. Loveland
K. Raymond
D. Swift

Patriots vs. Bears: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 7

  • Teams: New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:15PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Patriots (+3, -110), Bears (-3, +100)
  • Moneyline: Patriots +147, Bears -150
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points (-106/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Patriots: 38.1%
  • Bears: 61.9%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Patriots 23-26 Bears.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Patriots a win probability of 38.1%, while the Bears have a win probability of 61.9%.

Summary

The Patriots face off against the Bears in the NFL at Soldier Field on Thursday, October 22, 2026.

Our Patriots vs. Bears predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.