Dolphins vs. Raiders: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Dolphins vs. Raiders prediction for Sunday, September 13, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
FINAL
NFL
FINAL
NFL sport icon
NFL
Dolphins
13
27
Allegiant Stadium
Raiders
Allegiant Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dolphins
    <1%
  • Raiders
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Dolphins
0 6 7 0 13
Raiders
7 10 10 0 27
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Raiders
Dolphins
2nd and 11 at the MIA 35
Last Play
K.Cousins kneels at the MIA 35.

Dolphins vs. Raiders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 1

  • Teams: Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 4:25PM ET
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Dolphins (+3.5, -122), Raiders (-3.5, +117)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins +150, Raiders -156
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points (+104/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Dolphins: 41.8%
  • Raiders: 58.2%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Dolphins 19-21 Raiders.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Dolphins a win probability of 41.8%, while the Raiders have a win probability of 58.2%.

Summary

The Dolphins face off against the Raiders in the NFL at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, September 13, 2026.

Our Dolphins vs. Raiders predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.